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Brexit Vote Unlikely to Pass, SEK Dips, Crude Oil Remains Buoyant - US Market Open

Brexit Vote Unlikely to Pass, SEK Dips, Crude Oil Remains Buoyant - US Market Open

MARKET DEVELOPMENT – GBPUSD Gains Pared, SEK Troubles Persist, Oil Remains Buoyant

GBP: Yet another volatile session so far ahead of tonight’s Brexit vote (1900GMT). GBPUSD had moved towards 1.33 throughout the Asian session after PM May had gained legal assurances over the contentious backstop. However, gains had been pared during the European morning following the legal opinion from AG Geoffrey Cox, which noted that legal risks from the new deal were unchanged. In turn, this has reduced the likelihood that PM May will get her deal across with both the DUP and ERG stating that they will not support the deal. As such, this saw GBPUSD fall to lows of 1.3000. As reminder, with GBPUSD 1-day implied volatility at the highest since July 2016, price action is likely to remain choppy. Headline risk will continue to dictate in the run up to tonight’s vote.

SEK / NOK: Inflation troubles persist for the Riksbank with the latest Swedish CPI report, falling short of expectations and the central banks forecast. Consequently, SEK is on the backfoot against the EUR and NOK with the latter also supported by the uptick seen in oil prices.

Crude Oil: Brent crude futures remain buoyant as sentiment stemming from Saudi’s pledge to provide deeper production cuts continue to support. Elsewhere, power outages in Venezuela have further crippled production in the country, consequently providing a further boost to prices.

Source: Thomson Reuters

DailyFX Economic Calendar: – North American Releases

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  1. Brexit Latest: GBPUSD Drops as Cox says “Legal Risk” of New Brexit Deal is Unchanged” by Justin McQueen, Market Analyst
  2. Sterling (GBP) Brushes Aside UK Data as Brexit Takes Center Stage” by Nick Cawley, Market Analyst
  3. Rising Risk Appetite Boosts Stocks, Knocks JPY and US Treasuries” by Martin Essex, MSTA , Analyst and Editor
  4. Using FX To Effectively Trade Global Market Themes at IG” by Tyler Yell, CMT , Forex Trading Instructor

--- Written by Justin McQueen, Market Analyst

To contact Justin, email him at

Follow Justin on Twitter @JMcQueenFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.