News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
More View more
Real Time News
  • Greed is a natural human emotion that affects individuals to varying degrees. Unfortunately, when viewed in the context of trading, greed has proven to be a hindrance more often than it has assisted traders. Learn how to control greed in trading here: https://t.co/kODPAfs2Iz https://t.co/DfG4YuKM4U
  • Wall Street Futures Update: Dow Jones (+0.03%) S&P 500 (-0.11%) Nasdaq 100 (-0.28%) [delayed] -BBG
  • Volatility follows the FOMC's slow approach to its second taper, but neither the Dollar nor the S&P 500 have held their charge. With US GDP ahead, expect the echoes of the central bank's warnings and watch $EURUSD and $USDCAD https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/video/daily_news_report/2021/07/29/EURUSD-Slow-Trigger-Reversal-and-USDCAD-Yet-to-Detonate-After-Fed-Before-US-GDP.html https://t.co/BCUTSX0WNY
  • China to continue allowing Chinese companies to IPO in US exchanges - CNBC via BBG
  • Commodities Update: As of 02:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Silver: 0.85% Gold: 0.46% Oil - US Crude: 0.11% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/9QGWRaUfmI
  • The Swiss Franc’s technical stance against the New Zealand Dollar and Japanese Yen has brightened, with the technical outlook in NZD/CHF and CHF/JPY primed to benefit CHF. Get your market update from @FxWestwater here:https://t.co/u4GY00QpgC https://t.co/O9WscGjkwH
  • Forex Update: As of 02:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇯🇵JPY: 0.17% 🇬🇧GBP: 0.09% 🇨🇭CHF: 0.04% 🇳🇿NZD: 0.03% 🇪🇺EUR: 0.03% 🇦🇺AUD: -0.19% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/HNdAAVxqEA
  • (Gold Briefing) Gold Price Outlook Shifts Rosy Post FOMC, XAU/USD Eyeing US GDP Data Next #Gold #XAUUSD #GDP #Fed #FOMC https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/daily_briefing/daily_pieces/commodities/2021/07/29/Gold-Price-Outlook-Shifts-Rosy-Post-FOMC-XAUUSD-Eyeing-US-GDP-Data-Next.html?CHID=9&QPID=917702&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Dubrovsky&utm_campaign=twr https://t.co/EyIGPFRoQW
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Silver are long at 94.18%, while traders in France 40 are at opposite extremes with 69.12%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/I4p1Eqw06i
  • The US Dollar may remain on the offensive against ASEAN currencies amid Covid case growth and regional lockdown risks that threaten growth. All eyes are also on the Federal Reserve.Get your market update from @ddubrovskyFX here:https://t.co/f0crShr7Cf https://t.co/gqhdotvXG0
Sterling (GBP): PM May Has 12 Days or Parliament May Take Over Brexit

Sterling (GBP): PM May Has 12 Days or Parliament May Take Over Brexit

Nick Cawley, Strategist

Brexit Latest: News, Updates and Sterling Technical Analysis

  • Amendments defeated in Parliament as expected.
  • Sterling slips but rolls with the punches.

We have recently released our Q1 2019 Trading Forecasts for a wide range of Currencies and Commodities, including GBPUSD along with our latest fundamental and medium-term term technical outlook.

Sterling (GBP): Support Being Eroded

Thursday’s votes in the House of Commons were defeated as had been fully expected, adding to the pressure on PM May to get a workable deal with the EU in the next two weeks. If, as seems likely, she is unable to get the guarantee from the EU on the Irish backstop that she has been demanding, it is likely that Parliament will take control of the process. While this uncertainty may weigh on Sterling in the near-term, if Parliament takes over, it is very likely that Brexit negotiations will be extended for a few months and, more importantly for the Pound, the No Deal option will be taken off the table.

The worry for Sterling is that the main bill – approving the PM’s Brexit strategy - was defeated again last night after Conservative Eurosceptics abstained from voting with the PM as they feared that this would lead to the No Deal option being taken off the negotiating table.

Brexit and the Pound: Why EU Might Spurn a Last-Minute Deal With the UK.

Against this increasingly time sensitive backdrop, Sterling remains relatively stable, edging slightly lower before slowly pulling back some of its losses. This slow drip lower over the last week has pushed GBPUSD under all three moving averages, a bearish set-up, and through 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at 1.2894. The old October 30 swing-low at just under 1.2700 is the next downside target, followed by the January 15 spike low at 1.2672. The RSI indicator has fallen to levels last seen in mid-December and is nearing oversold territory after being in overbought territory less than three weeks ago.

GBPUSD Daily Price Chart (June 2018– February 15, 2019)

Sterling (GBP): PM May Has 12 Days or Parliament May Take Over Brexit

IG Retail Sentimentdata shows clients are 70.2% net-long GBPUSD, a bearish contrarian indicator. Traders are further net-long than yesterday and last week, and the combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a stronger GBPUSD bearish contrarian trading bias.

DailyFX has a vast amount of resources to help traders make more informed decisions. These include a fully updated Economic Calendar, and a raft of constantly updated Educational and Trading Guides

--- Written by Nick Cawley, Analyst

To contact Nick, email him at nicholas.cawley@ig.com

Follow Nick on Twitter @nickcawley1

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES