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MARKET DEVELOPMENT – RBA’s Lowe Recognises Deteriorating Outlook, AUD Hammered

AUD: While the RBA had seemed to be somewhat upbeat yesterday, RBA Governor Lowe struck a much more cautious tone, which in turn led to a shift from a tightening bias to a neutral bias. Consequently, the AUD had been hammered after the Governor opened the possibility of a cut, while AU bond yields also dipped. However, this should not be too surprising given that the domestic and foreign outlook had been deteriorating for quite some time (particularly China). Naturally key support is seen at 0.7000 and while the US open may see AUD selling pick up, today’s move could be somewhat exhausted, providing a caution for bears looking to chase AUD lower. Eyes on AUDNZD testing 1.04.

EUR: Weak data out of Germany persists with the latest factory orders contracting by 7%. However, while the outlook for the Eurozone remains soft, the Euro has held rather steady with the currency continuing to oscillate around the 1.14 handle. Outlook remains rangebound.

CAD: Canadian Dollar has been on the backfoot amid the drop-in oil prices, consequently taking USDCAD towards the 1.32 handle. Elsewhere, slight jawboning from BoC’s Lane has also pressured the Loonie, whereby the rate-setter noted that a lower currency would help support the Canadian economy during the current period of uncertainty regarding US trade policies.

EURUSD Rangebound, USDCAD Hits Resistance, AUDUSD Hammered - US Market Open

DailyFX Economic Calendar: – North American Releases

EURUSD Rangebound, USDCAD Hits Resistance, AUDUSD Hammered - US Market Open

IG Client Sentiment

EURUSD Rangebound, USDCAD Hits Resistance, AUDUSD Hammered - US Market Open

How to use IG Client Sentiment to Improve Your Trading

Four Things Traders are Reading

  1. Technical Outlook for Dow Jones, DAX 30, Crude Oil, Gold Price, Copper & More” by Paul Robinson, Market Analyst
  2. GBPUSD Outlook: Sterling Makes Significant Shift to the Downside” by Martin Essex, MSTA, Analyst and Editor
  3. AUD Technical Analysis Overview: AUDUSD, AUDJPY, AUDNZD” by Justin McQueen, Market Analyst
  4. USDCAD: Canadian Dollar Weakened by Crude Oil Price Slippage” by Martin Essex, MSTA , Analyst and Editor

--- Written by Justin McQueen, Market Analyst

To contact Justin, email him at Justin.mcqueen@ig.com

Follow Justin on Twitter @JMcQueenFX