News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.



Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events


Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

Free Trading Guides
Please try again
More View more
Real Time News
  • WTI #CrudeOil prices extend gains during Tuesday's Asia-Pacific trading session, nearing the July high at 76.95 Prices are up almost 0.9% on the day so far
  • The Federal Reserve System (the Fed) was founded in 1913 by the United States Congress. The Fed’s actions and policies have a major impact on currency value, affecting many trades involving the US Dollar. Learn more about the Fed here:
  • Brent oil prices hit $80 per barrel for the first time since October 2018 #trading #OOTT
  • Implementing a trading checklist is a vital part of the trading process because it helps traders to stay disciplined, stick to the trading plan, and builds confidence. Learn how to stick to the plan, stay disciplined, and use a checklist here:
  • This week has started with the recovery rally in risk assets stalled and the Dollar looking down multiple barrels of fundamental threat in monetary policy and debt politics. $EURUSD is well positioned as indicator 1.1650-1.1750
  • Risk management is one of the most important aspects of successful trading, but is often overlooked. What are some basic principles or risk management? Find out from @PaulRobinsonFX here:
  • AUD/NZD, Could This be the Turnaround? - #AUDNZD chart on @TradingView
  • Another pleasure being on @ausbiztv with host @AusAndrewG talking about US indices, rising bond yields and $USDJPY Check out the full interview here! -
  • 🇦🇺 Retail Sales MoM Prel (AUG) Actual: -1.7% Previous: -2.7%
  • 🇨🇳 Industrial Profits (YTD) YoY (AUG) Actual: 49.5% Previous: 57.3%
Euro Gains, Italian Bond Yields Fall on News of Budget Compromise

Euro Gains, Italian Bond Yields Fall on News of Budget Compromise

Dimitri Zabelin, Analyst


  • Euro rose, Italian 10-year bond yields fell after news broke of budget compromise
  • Markets are eyeing upcoming European Council meeting from December 13 – 14
  • Investors likely cautious amid poor economic performance in Germany and Italy

Just started trading Euro? Check out ourbeginners’ FX markets guide!

The Euro cautiously edged higher after news broke of a budget compromise brokered between Italian Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte and EU Commission President Jean Claude Junker. The new proposal now has the budget deficit at 2.04% of GDP, down from 2.4%. The spread between Italian and German 10-year bond yields narrowed by 5%. However, the fight may not be over yet.

Euro Cautiously Higher After Budget Announcement

Euro Gains, Italian Bond Yields Fall on News of Budget Compromise

German, Italian 10-year Bond Yield Spread Narrowed

Euro Gains, Italian Bond Yields Fall on News of Budget Compromise

Investors are likely holding their breath as they await the upcoming European Council meeting from December 13 – 14 for any key policy announcements that may shift the Euro and other European assets. A degree of caution may also still be hovering over investors shortly after British PM Theresa May was almost ousted through a vote of no confidence.

The dilemma in France over President Emmanuel Macron’s proposed 3.5% budget deficit may be used as ammunition by the Italian government to legitimize their fiscal radicalism. Granting an exception to France would likely be viewed as an example of Brussel’s favoritism to core countries over periphery member states, further stoking anti-establishment sentiment.

As it stands, Deputy PM Matteo Salvini is garnering more support at home according to several polls conducted over the past month. Meanwhile, support for his coalition partner Deputy PM Luigi Di Maoi’s Five Star Movement has been slipping against the backdrop of increasing internal fracturing. Uncertainty surrounding the final outcome of Italy’s 2019 budget is likely still looming over investors.

There is also the matter of slower economic growth in Europe with disappointing economic data coming from Germany and Italy. A concern for the latter’s performance may dwarf investor concern over the budget negotiations.

Italy’s economy contracted in the third quarter for the first time in four years, with further projections indicating slower growth in the state along with a gloomier outlook for global growth in 2019. Consequently, investors may be more hesitant to invest in European assets until the outlook becomes clearer. This will almost certainly exert downward pressure on the Euro until year-end and possibly into Q1 2019.

For further updates on global political economy and asset responses to geopolitical shifts, feel free to follow me on twitter @ZabelinDimitriwhere I frequently tweet updates before writing an article on it.


--- Written by Dimitri Zabelin, Jr Currency Analyst for

To contact Dimitri, use the comments section below or @ZabelinDimitrion Twitter

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.