News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Bearish
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Wall Street
Mixed
Gold
Bullish
GBP/USD
Bearish
USD/JPY
Bullish
More View more
Real Time News
  • 🇮🇹 Government Budget (2020) Actual: -9.5% Previous: -1.6% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-03-01
  • Many people are attracted to forex trading due to the amount of leverage that brokers provide. Leverage allows traders to gain more exposure in financial markets than what they are required to pay for. Learn about FX leverage here: https://t.co/BdgFmkRxVw https://t.co/2v3F0jycr9
  • 🇮🇹 Full Year GDP Growth (2020) Actual: -8.9% Previous: 0.3% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-03-01
  • Indices Update: As of 11:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: FTSE 100: 1.88% France 40: 1.65% Germany 30: 1.32% US 500: 1.21% Wall Street: 1.10% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/b4rnm5vtE1
  • Heads Up:🇮🇹 Full Year GDP Growth (2020) due at 11:00 GMT (15min) Previous: 0.3% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-03-01
  • Heads Up:🇮🇹 Government Budget (2020) due at 11:00 GMT (15min) Previous: -1.6% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-03-01
  • Fed's Barkin says would be disappointed if we didn't see bond yields rise as the outlook improves - WSJ
  • What are some factors affecting the USD this quarter? Get your free forecast here: https://t.co/7G7pWntiyY #DailyFXGuides https://t.co/yxnbYVF3T6
  • 🇮🇹 Inflation Rate YoY Prel (FEB) Actual: 0.6% Previous: 0.4% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-03-01
  • Thanks as always @JeremyNaylor_IG https://t.co/WALxUC2Ug8
GBPUSD Vulnerable to Larger Losses as PM May Looks into Brexit Abyss

GBPUSD Vulnerable to Larger Losses as PM May Looks into Brexit Abyss

Justin McQueen, Analyst

GBP Analysis and Talking Points:

  • Brexit Impasse Raises Risk of “No Deal”
  • GBP Shorts Back on the Rise

See our quarterly GBP forecast to learn what will drive prices through mid-year!

Brexit Impasse Raises Risk of “No Deal”

GBP has been rocked by the latest round of negative sentiment surrounding Brexit negotiations. With an increased number of MPs threatening to oppose PM May’s Brexit plans, this has forced the Prime Minister to drop her plan for an emergency cabinet meeting today to approve a Brexit deal. Alongside this, while President Juncker states that he believes an EU/UK agreement is imminent, chances that a deal will be approved by the UK parliament is fading fast. As such, GBP is on the backfoot, having gapped lower at the open and made a firm break below the 1.29 handle with eyes now on 1.28.

GBP Shorts Back on the Rise

As Brexit uncertainty continues to linger and with indications that UK growth may continue to weaken throughout Q4. GBP shorts have increased by $482mln to $4.65bln against the greenback, which is now the highest in a month. This in turn, has contributed to the overall USD long positioning, which increased to the largest level in 3 years at $30bln.

GBPUSD Vulnerable to Larger Losses as PM May Looks into Brexit Abyss

GBPUSD PRICE CHART: Daily Time-Frame (Dec 2017 – Nov 2018)

GBPUSD Vulnerable to Larger Losses as PM May Looks into Brexit Abyss

Chart by IG

Momentum continues to shift lower for the Pound with GBPUSD eyeing a break through 1.28. A breach of this level opens up room for larger losses towards the YTD low at 1.2660.

Additional Brexit Analysis

TRADING RESOURCES:

--- Written by Justin McQueen, Market Analyst

To contact Justin, email him at Justin.mcqueen@ig.com

Follow Justin on Twitter @JMcQueenFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES