We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Mixed
GBP/USD
Mixed
USD/JPY
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Bullish
Oil - US Crude
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Bitcoin
Bearish
More View more
Notice

DailyFX PLUS Content Now Available Freely to all DailyFX Users

Real Time News
  • European Opening Calls From IG: #FTSE 7345 +0.00% #DAX 12433 -0.28% #CAC 5675 -0.27% #IBEX 9151 -0.31% #STOXX 3558 -0.39%
  • What is prop trading and how can retail traders benefit? Tune into the #podcast episode featuring Morad Askar, aka Futures Trader 71. Only on Global Markets Decoded. Tune in here: https://t.co/2jDvD9L1Er https://t.co/STqSwY7OBT
  • Crude Oil Prices May Fall on ECB Commentary, US PMI Data - https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/daily_briefing/daily_pieces/commodities/2019/09/23/Crude-Oil-Prices-May-Fall-on-ECB-Commentary-US-PMI-Data.html?utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Spivak&utm_campaign=twr #CrudeOil #ECB #PMI #OOTT
  • Germany 30 IG Client Sentiment: Our data shows traders are now at their least net-long Germany 30 since May 04 when Germany 30 traded near 12,460.20. A contrarian view of crowd sentiment points to Germany 30 strength. https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/szH9YPYhHG
  • RT @LiveSquawk: UK PM Johnson: Do Not Wish To Elevate Belief There Will Be A New York Breakthrough On Brexit -A Great Deal Of Progress Has…
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 98.07%, while traders in France 40 are at opposite extremes with 88.92%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/OrePrrlL0a
  • (ASEAN Fundamental Outlook) US Dollar ASEAN Outlook Bullish, Trade Deal Hopes Fade, PHP at Risk #ASEAN #USD #USDPHP #TradeTalks - https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/article/special_report/2019/09/23/US-Dollar-ASEAN-Outlook-Bullish-Trade-Deal-Hopes-Fade-PHP-at-Risk.html?utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Dubrovsky&utm_campaign=twr https://t.co/0V1NIlGFuR
  • Forex Update: As of 04:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇳🇿NZD: 0.25% 🇦🇺AUD: 0.20% 🇬🇧GBP: 0.15% 🇨🇭CHF: -0.02% 🇨🇦CAD: -0.06% 🇯🇵JPY: -0.15% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/kxpBDlDSEt
  • Indices Update: As of 04:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: US 500: 0.33% Wall Street: 0.30% France 40: -0.17% Germany 30: -0.23% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/dlWycO82ZV
  • $EURGBP has fallen over 6% since August and is now rapidly approaching a critical support level not reached since May. Will a break below accelerate the aggressive selloff? Find out from @ZabelinDimitri here: https://t.co/CBM8Fg7vM0 https://t.co/ER5eD69A4C
USD/JPY Price Fall May Resume on Emerging Markets, Trade War Fears

USD/JPY Price Fall May Resume on Emerging Markets, Trade War Fears

2018-08-30 23:00:00
Daniel Dubrovsky, Analyst
Share:

Asia Pacific Market Open – Trade War Fears, Emerging Markets, Argentine Peso, Trump, USD/JPY

  • Market mood deteriorated throughout Thursday’s session starting with trade war concerns
  • Worries about Argentina depressed Emerging Markets, weakening AUD & NZD as JPY rose
  • USD/JPY prices on the daily chart could resume their descent, falling to the August 21st low

Trade all the major global economic data live and interactive at the DailyFX Webinars. We’d love to have you along.

Market mood deteriorated considerably throughout Thursday’s trading session, sending stocks lower across the board. It arguably began in Asia Pacific markets where Donald Trump expressed his displeasure on North Korean denuclearization, blaming China for lack of progress on the matter. Increased trade war fears robbed the Nikkei 225 of most of its gains from a gap to the upside.

This risk aversion then echoed into European shares where the DAX gapped lower and fell as much as 1.28% in the following hours. Then, emerging markets further weighed on stocks as investors’ fears on Argentina depressed emerging markets. The Argentine Peso depreciated over 12% against the US Dollar as the MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) fell about 2.6%.

Argentina has recently requested the IMF to speed up disbursements of a $50b credit line as its currency depreciated. The country’s situation renewed funding pressure in emerging markets amidst the global tightening cycle. We saw similar fears arise when the US pressured Turkey with economic sanctions, causing the Turkish Lira to fall against the US Dollar along with the EEM and thus dragging down stocks.

Then, towards the end of the US trading session, Mr. Trump announced that he is ready to back an additional $200b in Chinese tariffs as early as next week. The S&P 500 finished the day 0.44% lower. Shortly after, the US President then announced that Europe’s offer for removing auto tariffs was ‘not good enough’. US Treasury yields tumbled as prices rose with the heightened demand for haven assets.

For the FX majors, this translated into broad gains for the anti-risk Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the sentiment-linked currencies such as the Australian and New Zealand Dollars depreciated. Though declines in these were already amplified after worse-than-expected economic data during the Asia/Pacific session. The Canadian Dollar also took a hit, hindered by a rather mixed local GDP report.

Considering this, we may see the sour mood in markets reverberate into Friday’s Asia Pacific session as trade war fears and emerging market concerns dampen sentiment. As a result, JPY may find itself appreciating while AUD and NZD depreciate. Keep an eye on Australian private sector credit, if weakness in growth (as we saw with CAPEX data yesterday) lingers, Aussie Dollar may find additional downside momentum.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis – Will 2015 Trend Line Hold?

USD/JPY prices on the daily chart have declined to the 14.6% minor Fibonacci extension which is holding up as support. However, the pair remains caught on the falling trend line from August 2015 after failing to push above it multiple times. Continued gains in the Yen against the US Dollar may see USD/JPY descend to 109.77 which is the August 21st low. Meanwhile, near-term resistance is the 23.6% level at 111.80.

USD/JPY Daily Chart

Chart created in TradingView

US Trading Session

USD/JPY Price Fall May Resume on Emerging Markets, Trade War Fears

Asia Pacific Trading Session

Asia Pacific Trading Session

** All times listed in GMT. See the full economic calendar here

FX Trading Resources

--- Written by Daniel Dubrovsky, Junior Currency Analyst for DailyFX.com

To contact Daniel, use the comments section below or @ddubrovskyFX on Twitter

provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.