News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Bearish
Oil - US Crude
Bullish
Wall Street
Bearish
Gold
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
GBP/USD
Bearish
USD/JPY
Mixed
More View more
Real Time News
  • *Reminder: Weekly Strategy Webinar tomorrow morning at 8:30am EST (12:30GMT) on DailyFX!! - lots to discuss on the back of last week's #Fed Fireworks! https://t.co/lxd5fZnn4H
  • Technical analysis of charts aims to identify patterns and market trends by utilizing differing forms of technical chart types and other chart functions. Learn about the top three technical analysis tools here: https://t.co/KDjIjLdTSk https://t.co/l0j9vLrMIp
  • Markets Week Ahead: Gold, Dow, Pound-Dollar, BoE Rate Decision, Fed Risk, PMIs Check out my recap of last week and preview of upcoming event risk, plus all the latest forecasts from the @DailyFX team below. Link to Analysis - https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/forecast/weekly/title/2021/06/20/Markets-Week-Ahead-Gold-Dow-Pound-Dollar-BoE-Rate-Decision-Fed-Risk-PMIs.html $GLD $DJI $GBPUSD #Trading
  • Traders focus a lot of their energy on spotting the perfect time to enter a trade. While this is important, it is ultimately where traders choose to exit trades that will determine success. Learn about the three types of trading exit strategies here: https://t.co/muYkTNXH7s https://t.co/hbZPJmoOHe
  • Trading bias allows traders to make informative decisions when dealing in the market. This relates to both novice and experienced traders alike. Start learning how you may be able to make more informed decisions here: https://t.co/rz7fqhRoMG https://t.co/C0i7u1dDKL
  • What suits your style of trading stocks or commodities? Find out what are the differences in these two markets here: https://t.co/BnA07cMV0s https://t.co/Q69HKBXeKH
  • (Weekly Technical Outlook) US Dollar Outlook, Key Trend Reversals Playing Out? USD/CAD, AUD/USD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD #USD $USDCAD $AUDUSD $EURUSD $GBPUSD https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/technical/article/special_report/2021/06/20/US-Dollar-Outlook-Key-Trend-Reversals-Playing-Out-USDCAD-AUDUSD-EURUSD-GBPUSD.html?CHID=9&QPID=917702&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Dubrovsky&utm_campaign=twr https://t.co/7C56bfljV4
  • Forex quotes reflect the price of different currencies at any point in time. Since a trader’s profit or loss is determined by movements in price, it is essential to develop a sound understanding of how to read currency pairs. Learn how to read quotes here: https://t.co/CNtqrKWDBY https://t.co/Gea69MhO04
  • The non-farm payroll (NFP) figure is a key economic indicator for the United States economy. It is also referred to as the monthly market mover. Find out why it has been given this nickname here: https://t.co/yOUVEEqhc5 https://t.co/oPaSJLahbE
  • It’s important for traders to be familiar with FX spreads as they are the primary cost of trading currencies. Understand a pair's spread here: https://t.co/zEEUHZBx7g https://t.co/bFOK9RRXtv
USD Could Fall Further on Trump's Troubles, US-China Trade Worries

USD Could Fall Further on Trump's Troubles, US-China Trade Worries

Martin Essex, MSTA, Analyst

USD price, news and analysis:

  • The US Dollar’s recent weakness looks set to be extended as traders worry about an escalation of the US-China trade wars and allegations of wrongdoing by US President Donald Trump.
  • These factors are likely to outweigh the prospect of higher US interest rates and USD’s safe-haven status.

Our trading forecasts for Q3 have been published; you can find the USD guide here.

USD still under downward pressure

Prospects for the US Dollar look poor near-term as the US-China trade war escalates, with both sides implementing 25% tariffs on $16 billion of each other’s goods despite low-level trade talks in Washington designed to bring the US and China closer together.

In addition, concerns are mounting about criminal probes into US President Donald Trump’s former personal lawyer Michael Cohen and ex-campaign chairman Paul Manafort. Investors are considering whether the setback would hurt his Republican Partys mid-term election prospects and EURUSD has rallied as a result, along with several other currencies and commodities.

EURUSD Price Chart, Daily Timeframe (May 26 – August 23, 2018)

Latest EURUSD price chart.

Chart by IG

On the flipside, US Dollar weakness could be contained by its status as a safe-haven when investors wish to reduce their exposure to risky assets and by continuing expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise US interest rates again next month. The minutes of the last meeting of the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee made it clear that its members are considering another rate hike soon.

Technical outlook for EURUSD

From a technical perspective, as the chart above shows, USD has rallied this session but the climb in EURUSD that began on August 16 could well resume. If it manages to recover above 1.16 there could well be a climb to just under 1.17, where trendline resistance and the 100-day moving average could impede its progress. Support lies close to 1.15.

Retail trader sentiment data also point to gains in EURUSD, with 57% currently net-short the pair and only 43% net long.

More to read on US-China trade dispute

A brief history of trade wars

Resources to help you trade the forex markets

Whether you are a new or an experienced trader, at DailyFX we have many resources to help you: analytical and educational webinars hosted several times per day, trading guides to help you improve your trading performance, and one specifically for those who are new to forex. You can learn how to trade like an expert by reading our guide to the Traits of Successful Traders.

--- Written by Martin Essex, Analyst and Editor

Feel free to contact me via the comments section below, via email at martin.essex@ig.com or on Twitter @MartinSEssex

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES