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PM May Leadership in Crisis as Boris Johnson Quits; GBP Plunges

PM May Leadership in Crisis as Boris Johnson Quits; GBP Plunges

2018-07-09 14:40:00
Justin McQueen, Analyst
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GBPUSD Analysis and News

  • Initial GBP Gains Pared as Both Brexit and Foreign Minister Quit
  • Resignation Increases Risk of a “No Deal”

See our latest Q3 FX forecast to learn what will drive the currency through the quarter.

See how retail traders are positioning in GBPUSD as well as other major FX pairs on an intraday basis using the DailyFX speculative positioning data on the sentiment page.

GBP Gains Pared as Both Brexit and Foreign Minister Quit

On Friday, PM May’s “soft” Brexit plan had been agreed among cabinet ministers at the Chequers meeting. The plan for the new UK-EU free trade area involves the UK having a customs regime around the bloc’s rules and implement identical regulations for certain sectors. The notion that PM May is looking for a soft Brexit kept GBP elevated for much of the morning.

However, with hard line Brexiteers David Davies and most notably Boris Johnson resigning in the wake of the soft Brexit proposal, this raises the risk of a “no deal”. Subsequently, this has erased the gains in the Pound with more losses potentially on the horizon as PM May’s Leadership is under renewed pressure, which could see her ousted. Additionally, this will also cast doubts on PM May’s plan and the ability for the UK to reach a deal by the October EU meeting. The clear divide within in the Tory party suggests that political uncertainty continues to keep the Pound pressured and will likely lead to increased volatility in the Pound in the short term. The Question among investors will be, who is next to leave?

GBP/USD PRICE CHART: 5-MINUTE TIME FRAME (July 8-July 9)

PM May Leadership in Crisis as Boris Johnson Quits; GBP Plunges

Chart by IG

--- Written by Justin McQueen, Market Analyst

To contact Justin, email him at Justin.mcqueen@ig.com

Follow Justin on Twitter @JMcQueenFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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