Japanese Yen Ticks Down After Trade Balance Data, Kuroda Awaited
Japanese Yen, Trade Balance Talking Points:
- Japan’s current account balance came in well ahead of expectations for May
- However the trade gap yawned more widely than economists had predicted
- The Japanese Yen held steady, with the markets looking ahead to the Bank of Japan Governor’s speech
Find out what retail foreign exchange traders make of the Japanese Yen’s chances right now at the DailyFX Sentiment Page
With financial markets still very much focused on the current trade spat between the US and China, it was perhaps unsurprising that the Japanese Yen didn’t move very far on Monday when that country’s own trade balance data were released.
On a balance of payments basis, the trade deficit was JPY303.9 billion (US$2.7 billion) in May. That was well below the previous JPY573.8 billion surplus and the expected surplus of JPY483. 1 billion. Still, this series can be volatile and, in any case, signs of increasing imports may cheer Yen bulls.
The overall current account balance came in at JPY1,938.3 billion, way ahead of expectations, which centered on a JPY1,266 billion surplus. Bank lending also increased a little faster than its February pace, rising 2.1% in May.
The numbers had very little impact on the Yen, which actually weakened a little against the US Dollar in the immediate aftermath. The markets may be awaiting Bank of Japan Governor Kuroda. He is due to make a speech on Monday and, with inflation still apparently very reluctant to rise, despite massive stimulus aimed at making it do so, his comments will be keenly awaited.
The clear uptrend channel on USD/JPY’s remains in full view but the move’s momentum seems to be waning. The pair’s most recent upward foray fell short of both its most recent significant peak, made on June 15, and May 21’s top of 111.42. Still, Fibonacci retracement support at 109.85 looks solid enough and is, in any case, some way above the upside channel base. Dollar bulls are still in command then, but they will need to show that they know what to do with it soon.
Resources for Traders
Whether you’re new to trading or an old hand DailyFX has plenty of resources to help you. There’s our trading sentiment indicator which shows you live how IG clients are positioned right now. We also hold educational and analytical webinars and offer trading guides, with one specifically aimed at those new to foreign exchange markets. There’s also a Bitcoin guide. Be sure to make the most of them all. They were written by our seasoned trading experts and they’re all free.
--- Written by David Cottle, DailyFX Research
Follow David on Twitter @DavidCottleFX or use the Comments section below to get in touch!
DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.