News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.



Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events


Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

Free Trading Guides
Please try again
Oil - US Crude
Wall Street
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View more
Real Time News
  • Japanese Finance Minister Aso says overall the financial system is stable - BBG
  • Join @DanielGMoss's #Webinar at 10:00 PM ET/3:00 AM GMT for his weekly coverage of trading prep for $AUDUSD in the week ahead. Register here:
  • South Korean President Moon Jae-in: - Revised GDP shows swift economic recovery underway - Retail investors have supported the South Korean stocks markets - BBG
  • Knowing how to accurately value a stock enables traders to identify and take advantage of opportunities in the stock market. Find out the difference between a stock's market and intrinsic value, and the importance of the two here:
  • Wall Street Futures Update: Dow Jones (+0.513%) S&P 500 (+0.628%) Nasdaq 100 (+0.755%) [delayed] -BBG
  • Net exports were the biggest drag on Australia's GDP in over 9 years in Q3, according to data released today. #RBA on tap today, full Q3 #GDP report due Wednesday
  • 🇦🇺 Building Permits MoM Prel (OCT) Actual: 3.8% Expected: -3% Previous: 16.2%
  • 🇦🇺 Building Permits MoM Prel (OCT) Actual: 3.8% Expected: -3% Previous: 15.4%
  • 🇰🇷 Markit Manufacturing PMI (NOV) Actual: 52.9 Previous: 51.2
  • 🇦🇺 Building Permits MoM Prel (OCT) Actual: 3.8 Expected: -3% Previous: 15.4%
Anti-Risk Yen May Continue Weakening after Trade Balance Data

Anti-Risk Yen May Continue Weakening after Trade Balance Data

2018-05-21 00:30:00
Daniel Dubrovsky, Analyst

Japanese Yen Talking Points:

  • Japanese Yen appears more interested in risk trends than local trade data
  • Exports rose (but less than expected) despite first month of US metal tariffs
  • USD/JPY remains in rising channel and may test August 2015 trend line

Build confidence in your own USD/JPY strategy with the help of our free guide!

The Japanese Yen weakened in the aftermath of a mixed local trade balance report as expected, focusing more on risk trends as it followed the Nikkei 225 higher. Japan’s trade surplus unexpectedly rose by ¥626.0b in April versus ¥440.0b expected and ¥797.0b in March.

Meanwhile, the details showed that exports rose just 7.8% y/y versus 8.7% expected. Imports also only increased by 5.9% against 9.8% forecasted. While both of these statistics missed expectations, they were an improvement from March’s outcome on the whole.

The upside result in export growth occurred despite the first full month that Japan came under the implementation of US metal tariffs. For the country, trade is a vital component of its economy. Still, the Bank of Japan is unlikely to act on the data as it continues to focus on keeping rates low and bolstering inflation.

With that in mind, the anti-risk Yen had its focus on sentiment given the data’s limited implications for BoJ monetary policy expectations. Leading into the data release, news that the US will put Chinese tariffs on hold dampened the appeal of the currency. Given the lack of key economic data ahead during this session, risk trends will probably continue to be the focus for it.

Anti-Risk Yen May Continue Weakening after Trade Balance DataAnti-Risk Yen May Continue Weakening after Trade Balance Data

USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Still No Signs of Turning Lower

Since we last touched base on USD/JPY, the currency still remains in an ascending channel with no imminent signs of a reversal warning. This opens the door for the pair to eventually test the falling trend line from August 2015. Meanwhile, near-term support seems to be the 38.2% Fibonacci extension at 110.71.

Anti-Risk Yen May Continue Weakening after Trade Balance Data

USD/JPY Trading Resources:

--- Written by Daniel Dubrovsky, Junior Currency Analyst for

To contact Daniel, use the comments section below or @ddubrovskyFX on Twitter

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.