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Japanese Yen Steady As BoJ Holds Once More, Kuroda Up Next

Japanese Yen Steady As BoJ Holds Once More, Kuroda Up Next

David Cottle, Analyst

Talking Points:

Find out what DailyFX analysts think the Japanese Yen’s fate will be at our Forecast Page

The battered Japanese Yen got no respite on Friday after the Bank of Japan left all of its monetary policy settings on hold as had been universally expected.

That leaftthe key short-term policy rate at -0.1%, the 10-year Japanese Government Bond yield target around 0% and massive bond-buying still very much in place.

This was no surprise at all, of course, with the Bank of Japan still publicly committed to keeping the monetary taps wide upon until consumer price inflation hits 2% and stays there. At last look it was running some way below that at 1.1% in March, having retreated from 1.5% in February.

The BoJ now expects it to average 1.3% this year. It also expects inflation to rise back toward its 2% target in due course but declined to say when this might be in Friday’s statement, having previously thought it possible next year. The central bank expects the economy in its charge to continue expanding moderately.

USD/JPY barely moved on the news, and market focus will now turn to BoJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda who will speak on the decision later. He has been known to throw markets the odd policy curveball but these can by their nature be hard to predict.

BOJ Policy Announcement on US Dollar vs. Japanese Yen Daily Chart

In any case, the market is probably fixed on Friday’s US session, when official growth data are due, and the Federal Reserve’s May monetary policy meeting next week.

The Japanese Yen has come under pressure against the US Dollar in recent days as the contrast between a Federal Reserve still committed to raising interest rates contrasts sharply with a BoJ still stuck very firmly in stimulus mode. US Treasury yields have risen to four-year highs, with the ten-year’s 3% or so again in marked contrast to the Bank of Japan’s repression of the equivalent JGB yield to 0%.

On its daily candlestick chart, USD/JPY has left its former April trading range –marked in red- in the dust. Dollar bulls are pushing it toward a band of resistance around early-February’s highs, which are marked in blue.

US Dollar vs. Japanese Yen daily chart

If they can’t get there then support is likely at the old range top, which comes in some way below the market at 107.78.

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Whether you’re new to trading or an old hand DailyFX has plenty of resources to help you. There’s our trading sentiment indicator which shows you live how IG clients are positioned right now. We also hold educational and analytical webinars and offer trading guides, with one specifically aimed at those new to foreign exchange markets. There’s also a Bitcoin guide. Be sure to make the most of them all. They were written by our seasoned trading experts and they’re all free.

--- Written by David Cottle, DailyFX Research

Follow David on Twitter @DavidCottleFX or use the Comments section below to get in touch!

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.