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US AM Digest: Sentiment Cools Again as Trade War Concerns Heat Up

US AM Digest: Sentiment Cools Again as Trade War Concerns Heat Up

2018-03-07 14:29:00
DailyFX Research,
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The resignation of Gary Cohn, the top economic advisor to US President Donald Trump, has quickly stoked concerns over the onset of a global trade war. The strongest opponent to the aluminum and steel tariffs has been neutralized, leaving the direction of policy in the hands of the “economic nationalists” in the White House. While the US Dollar took the news on the chin, the proliferation of concerns has continued to weigh on the Canadian Dollar and the Mexican Peso, increasingly under pressure amid the NAFTA renegotiations.

DailyFX Economic Calendar: Wednesday, March 7, 2018 – North American Releases

US AM Digest: Sentiment Cools Again as Trade War Concerns Heat Up

The Canadian Dollar has been depreciating non-stop over the past six-weeks, and there is no need to look any further than what’s been happening with Bank of Canada rate hike expectations for the first half of 2018. Since mid-January, the odds of a May rate hike (there is no BOC meeting in June) have fallen from 80% down to 55% today. With uncertainty around the NAFTA renegotiations increasing thanks to US President Trump’s commentary about tariffs and a trade war, it seems high unlikely that the BOC will be revisiting the hawkish tone today that carried the Loonie higher in Q4’17 and January 2018.

Join Currency Analyst David Song today at 9:45 EST/14:45 GMT for live coverage of the BOC rate decision.

DailyFX Webinar Calendar: Wednesday, March 7, 2018

US AM Digest: Sentiment Cools Again as Trade War Concerns Heat Up

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