News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Bearish
Oil - US Crude
Bearish
Wall Street
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Bullish
GBP/USD
Bearish
USD/JPY
Mixed
More View more
Real Time News
  • The Federal Reserve System (the Fed) was founded in 1913 by the United States Congress. The Fed’s actions and policies have a major impact on currency value, affecting many trades involving the US Dollar. Learn more about the Fed here: https://t.co/ADSC4sIHrP https://t.co/roqwTv3eyP
  • Technical analysis of charts aims to identify patterns and market trends by utilising differing forms of technical chart types and other chart functions. Learn about the top three technical analysis tools here: https://t.co/KDjIjLdTSk https://t.co/ghcFd5ufaD
  • Traders tend to overcomplicate things when they’re starting out in the forex market. This fact is unfortunate but undeniably true. Simplify your trading strategy with these four indicators here: https://t.co/fYgcMxImlP https://t.co/kkekBVYvhV
  • Traders utilize varying time frames to speculate in the forex market. The two most common are long- and short-term-time frames which transmits through to trend and trigger charts. Learn more about time-frame analysis here: https://t.co/9S5tXIs3SX https://t.co/VwIkOMpvYl
  • “The UK and EU have agreed to return to the negotiating table to try to agree a post-#Brexit trade deal. But on Friday, a joint statement said ‘significant divergences’ remained.” - BBC News #GBP
  • Multiple time frame analysis follows a top down approach when trading and allows traders to gauge the longer-term trend while spotting ideal entries on a smaller time frame chart. Learn how to incorporate multiple time frame analysis here: https://t.co/Sy3g6HGLrR https://t.co/aRfVCRZut3
  • Forex sentiment analysis can be a useful tool to help traders understand and act on price behavior. Learn how to get the most out of understanding trader sentiment here: https://t.co/rJznrXkcYz https://t.co/uUh18lR3yK
  • The rising wedge is a popular reversal pattern that is predictive in nature and can give traders a clue to the direction and distance of the next price move. Incorporate the rising wedge in your trading strategy and learn more here: https://t.co/zTTk2WOrj9 https://t.co/q5oBalZieU
  • Both the S&P 500 and $EURUSD will enter the coming week with momentum to their back. What can trip up the rallies? What could keep them going? My overview for the week ahead: https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/video/daily_news_report/2020/12/05/SP-500-and-EURUSD-Rallies-Face-Different-Conviction-Questions-.html?ref-author=Kicklighter&QPID=917719&CHID=9 https://t.co/YfEXEhkbhl
  • After the recent strength of EUR/USD, a period of consolidation is likely ahead of two critical meetings: of the European Central Bank and the European Council. Get your $EURUSD market update from @MartinSEssex here:https://t.co/Slu7tHo2a4 https://t.co/9am4szeia1
EUR/USD Stable After Inflation Data, US NFP Looms

EUR/USD Stable After Inflation Data, US NFP Looms

2018-01-05 10:30:00
Nick Cawley, Strategist
Share:

EUR Talking Points

- EUR/USD may come under pressure after weak inflation data, while US payroll data looms large.

- Client sentiment data provides a bullish impulse for EUR/USD.

Check out our newTrading Forecasts - they’re free and have been updated for the first quarter of 2018.

Euro-Zone inflation slipped lower in the final month of 2017, increasing the pressure on the central bank to keep its monetary policy looser for longer. December Euro-Zone CPI fell to 1.4% from a prior 1.5%, once again missing the ECB’s mandate of close to or around 2%. Core inflation was 1.1%.

Despite the weak consumer price backdrop, EUR/USD continues to push higher and is nearing its September peak around 1.20920. A break above there takes the pair back to levels last seen in December 2014. The recent rally is in part due to the weakness in the greenback as longer-dated US bond yields remain stubbornly low despite the likelihood of three interest rate hikes this year. Investors will also be watching today’s US non-farm payrolls data at 13:30 GMT to gauge the strength of the US jobs market. The unemployment rate in the US is currently 4.1%, a 17-year low.

EUR/USD Price Chart One Minute Timeframe (January 5, 2017)

EUR/USD Stable After Inflation Data, US NFP Looms

Chart by IG

EUR/USD Bullish Bias according to Sentiment Data

IG Client Sentiment data show 25.0% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders short to long at 3.01 to 1. The number of traders net-long is 1.1% lower than yesterday and 1.0% higher from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 5.9% higher than yesterday and 13.0% higher from last week. We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-short suggests EURUSD prices may continue to rise. Traders are further net-short than yesterday and last week, and the combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a stronger EURUSD-bullish contrarian trading bias.

DailyFX provide a wide range of free, constantly updated Trading Guides including Forex for Beginners, Top Trading Lessons and The Number One Mistake Traders Make.

--- Written by Nick Cawley, Analyst

To contact Nick, email him at nicholas.cawley@ig.com

Follow Nick on Twitter @nickcawley1

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES