We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Wall Street
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Mixed
GBP/USD
Bullish
USD/JPY
Mixed
More View more
Real Time News
  • Forex Update: As of 12:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇦🇺AUD: 0.78% 🇳🇿NZD: 0.45% 🇬🇧GBP: 0.42% 🇪🇺EUR: 0.35% 🇨🇭CHF: -0.04% 🇯🇵JPY: -0.51% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/DvaBAG6n53
  • UK PM Johnson says the UK are not compromising with the EU on fisheries and level playing field as position on those are fundamental $GBP
  • López Obrador hopes #USMCA will help tighten trade relationships between the US and Mexico. Get your currencies market update from @HathornSabin here: https://t.co/bZrUKSCGaS https://t.co/UWFdv7wCP0
  • Pronóstico $XAUUSD: el #oro consolida un canal ascendente hacia 1.750$ #gold #trading https://t.co/Tu8g57ZORD
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 96.89%, while traders in US 500 are at opposite extremes with 75.00%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/jJf4VBBPOr
  • Commodities Update: As of 10:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Oil - US Crude: 2.72% Gold: -0.03% Silver: -0.15% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/HD3d67xvtz
  • Forex Update: As of 10:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇦🇺AUD: 0.93% 🇬🇧GBP: 0.57% 🇨🇦CAD: 0.45% 🇪🇺EUR: 0.34% 🇨🇭CHF: -0.10% 🇯🇵JPY: -0.17% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/1d82miYwh3
  • Coming up at half past the hour: my weekly webinar on market #sentiment. Please join me if you can. You can sign up here: https://www.dailyfx.com/webinars/181540619?ref-author=essex&CHID=9&QPID=917711
  • Indices Update: As of 10:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: France 40: 1.74% Germany 30: 1.12% FTSE 100: 0.88% Wall Street: 0.77% US 500: 0.69% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/1IbO8jbvOv
  • Russia and other nations are said to prefer a 1-month OPEC+ production cut extension #OOTT
GBP/USD Continues to Move Higher, Brexit Levels in View

GBP/USD Continues to Move Higher, Brexit Levels in View

2018-01-03 10:15:00
Nick Cawley, Strategist
Share:

Sterling Talking Points

- GBP/USD is nearing levels last seen in June 2016 and may push higher in the short-term.

- Sterling positioning data points to GBP/USD rallying further.

GBP/USD has started the year in robust fashion and looks set to continue its positive run. The current lull in Brexit commentary is helping Sterling to push higher as negative headlines disappear, while in the US the Trump tax cuts are not seen as a driving force behind higher interest rates. Today’s FOMC minutes may give greater clarity to the Fed’s intentions in the short-term.

GBP/USD is currently trading within 1 cent of levels last seen on June 20, 2016, the day that the UK voted to leave the European Union. A breach and close above the September 20, 2017 high of 1.36550 will open the way to 1.4000 or higher. From a technical stance, GBP/USD now trades above the 100-day ema while the stochastic indicator is pointing higher, both positive set-ups.

GBPUSD Price Chart Daily Timeframe (August 2017 – January 3, 2018)

GBP/USD Continues to Move Higher, Brexit Levels in View

Chart by IG

GBPUSD Client Positioning Data Posts a Bullish Shadow

IG Client Sentiment data show 37.3% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders short to long at 1.68 to 1. The number of traders net-long is 13.5% higher than yesterday and 14.9% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 24.3% higher than yesterday and 51.7% higher from last week. We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-short suggests GBPUSD prices may continue to rise. Traders are further net-short than yesterday and last week, and the combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a stronger GBPUSD-bullish contrarian trading bias.

The Traits of Successful Traders and how to find the Number One Mistake Traders Make are just two of the topics covered in ourFree Trading Guides.

--- Written by Nick Cawley, Analyst

To contact Nick, email him at nicholas.cawley@ig.com

Follow Nick on Twitter @nickcawley1

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.