Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events


Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

Free Trading Guides
Oil - US Crude
Wall Street
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View more
Real Time News
  • US Treasury Yields: 2-Year: 0.113% 3-Year: 0.122% 5-Year: 0.222% 7-Year: 0.405% 10-Year: 0.558% 30-Year: 1.234% $TNX
  • Forex Update: As of 14:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇨🇦CAD: -0.08% 🇯🇵JPY: -0.35% 🇪🇺EUR: -0.40% 🇦🇺AUD: -0.69% 🇳🇿NZD: -0.74% 🇨🇭CHF: -1.11% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/g48aHJoSf8
  • Indices Update: As of 14:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Germany 30: 2.55% France 40: 1.77% FTSE 100: 1.77% Wall Street: 0.61% US 500: 0.57% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/K4DUoqfBBy
  • $AAPL post-earnings looks parabolic even on a log chart that split is going to juggle up the composition of the $DJIA though. Only 30 stocks and this has been like 11% of the index. Big driver about to have a smaller impact on the $Dow post-split https://t.co/7xhnvbjKLA https://t.co/cgUn1ybQ6U
  • Ripple (XRP) - This could get interesting if we close above Sunday's spike high ($0.325)...#xrp #Crypto @DailyFXTeam https://t.co/2rrL5efGBa
  • Among the FAANG members, only $AAPL seems to be carrying over the momentum from last week's earnings wave. Here is my version of the high market cap tech index overlaid on the stock https://t.co/Z6KnMefH1c
  • 🇲🇽 Markit Manufacturing PMI (JUL) Actual: 40.40 Previous: 38.60 https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-08-03
  • RT @WVenketas: $USDCAD price forecast: Last Place Battle – #Loonie or #Dollar? $USD $CAD https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/market_alert/2020/08/03/USDCAD-latest-Last-Place-Battle-Loonie-or-Dollar.html
  • The #Euro and Sterling both had a positive tone last week going into month-end and sellers have appeared in both currencies today. Get your market update from @nickcawley1 here: https://t.co/LBmxuV1sG1 https://t.co/H56olNlp7L
  • While the Dollar is continuing to extend its tentative gains from Friday with broad results against EM counterparts, $USDCNH still refusing to participate. I wonder if this is a reflection of their relationship or a conscious curb https://t.co/lhGeb1bsYF
NZ Dollar Gains as RBNZ Hold Rates and Removes Prior Neutral Tone

NZ Dollar Gains as RBNZ Hold Rates and Removes Prior Neutral Tone

2017-06-21 22:08:00
Daniel Dubrovsky, Analyst

Talking Points:

  • The New Zealand Dollar appreciated following June’s RBNZ monetary policy announcement
  • The central bank removed a key sentence from May’s statement in regards to their policy stance
  • 2-year government bond yields rallied suggesting markets saw this as a relatively hawkish shift

What do retail traders’ buy/sell decisions hint about the New Zealand Dollar trend? Find out here.

The New Zealand Dollar rallied against its major counterparts after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand interest rate announcement. Going into this decision, the markets were overwhelmingly expecting the central bank to hold rates unchanged. This was exactly what happened, the RBNZ maintained its official cash rate at 1.75%.

What mattered the most going forward would arguably end up being any future guidance that could affirm or cause speculators to reevaluate their bets of their interest rate outlooks. Overnight index swaps were pricing in at least a 50% probability of an RBNZ rate hike by April 2018, less than one year away. With the Kiwi’s rally after the press release, traders found a window to draw conclusions on a shift in rate forecast.

Diving into Governor Graeme Wheeler’s statement, much of what was stated in June was left unchanged from May. He mentioned that GDP growth in March was lower than expected, but the growth outlook remains positive. As for inflation, Wheeler said that the rise in prices in March were temporary and may lead to some variability in headline inflation.

The speculative foothold of this monetary policy announcement arguably ended up being what was left out rather. In May, the RBNZ said that “developments since the February monetary policy statement on balance are considered to be neutral for the stance of monetary policy.” This was notably absent in June’s document.

Investors and speculators alike likely interpreted the removal of a “neutral” stance as a relatively hawkish shift – though it does not explicitly indicate a shift towards a hawkish view. Nevertheless, local 2-year government bond yields rallied as the announcement crossed the wires. While there are no speeches from the central bank’s governor on the docket for the remainder of this week, perhaps a Q&A session in the future might find Wheeler under fire about their exact intentions.

NZ Dollar Gains as RBNZ Hold Rates and Removes Prior Neutral Tone

Retail FX traders have maintained a sharply skewed net short position after the event. Looking at the IG Client Sentiment data on DailyFX, we find that approximately 84 percent of those traders holding NZD/USD positions are short. That likely has as much to do with the technical implications as with the fundamentals surrounding New Zealand and US monetary policy.

NZ Dollar Gains as RBNZ Hold Rates and Removes Prior Neutral Tone

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.


News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.