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US Dollar Declines on More Disappointing Data for the Start of the New Year

US Dollar Declines on More Disappointing Data for the Start of the New Year

Benjamin Spier, Technical Strategist

Talking Points:

  • US manufacturing output in January is the worst in four years
  • Fed’s Yellen notes a notable change in outlook may affect taper pace
  • USD/JPY falls 10-pips

Want to trade with proprietary strategies developed by FXCM? Find out how here.

The US Dollar declined on Friday morning, as additional disappointing data for the start of the year put a damper on the outlook for the US economy.

US Manufacturing Production declined 0.8% in January, which was the worst in four years. The drop in factory output disappointed expectations for a 0.1% rise in manufacturing and declined from the revised 0.3% rise in production in December. US Industrial Production declined 0.3% January, which was the biggest decline in more than a year and disappointed expectations for a 0.2% rise in industrial output. Also, capacity utilization fell from 78.9% in December to 78.5% in January.

The ISM Manufacturing index also fell to an 8-month low in January at 51.3, and Non-Farm Payrolls disappointed expectations in January by only expanding by 113 thousand jobs. Disappointing US data is important for dollar traders because of the implication on the pace of QE taper. Fed Chair Yellen said earlier this week that a notable change in the outlook for the economy could prompt a slowdown in the taper pace.

That’s why the US Dollar declined about 10 pips against the Japanese Yen following the release. USD/JPY may next find support by the July 2013 high at 101.53.

New to Forex? Watch this video

USD/JPY 1-Minute: February 14, 2014

US_Dollar_Declines_on_More_Disappointing_Data_for_the_Start_of_the_New_Year_body_Picture_1.png, US Dollar Declines on More Disappointing Data for the Start of the New Year

Chart created by Benjamin Spier using Marketscope 2.0

-- Written by Benjamin Spier, DailyFX Research. Feedback can be sent to instructor@dailyfx.com .

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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