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Loonie Remains Strong after Canada's April Inflation Rose More than Forecast

Loonie Remains Strong after Canada's April Inflation Rose More than Forecast

Trang Nguyen,

THE TAKEAWAY:Canada Consumer Price Index Rise 0.4 Percent in April > the Inflation within Target Encourages Bank of Canada to Preserve its Low Interest Rate Policy throughout 2012> CAD Remains Higher

Canada’s inflation remained stable at 0.4 percent in April for the fourth straight month as rising price pressures on automobiles and clothing offset easing pressures on energy and gasoline.

Canada Consumer Price Index is at a current level of 122.2, up 0.4 percent from121.7 in the previous month, the Ottawa-based Statistics Canada reported today. As such, the consumer prices remained stable at 0.4 percent for the fourth straight month. The reading exceeds 0.3 percent gain projected,according to the Bloomberg News survey. Over a year prior, the all items index regained to 2.0 percent from 1.9 percent in March.

The rise in year-to-year cost of energy substantially softened to 1.1 percent in April, following 5.1 percent increase in March and 7.2 percent upsurge in February. Similarly, gasoline prices climbed only 3.3 percent last month compared to 6.6 percent and 8.9 percent in the previous two months. Meanwhile, transportation costs surged 3.2 percent in the twelve months to April while the food prices advanced 2.5 percent.

The Bank of Canada’s core index rose 0.4 percent on monthly basis and gained 2.1 percent on yearly basis. Those numbers are consistent with the Bank of Canada’s forecast last month that consumer prices would advance average 2 percent this quarter and 2.2 percent in the second half of the year.

USDCAD 1-minute Chart: May 18, 2012

051812_Canada_Consumer_Price_Index_April_body_Picture_1.png, Loonie Remains Strong after Canada's April Inflation Rose More than Forecast

Chart created using Strategy Trader – Prepared by Trang Nguyen

The Canadian dollar gains ground versus most of its major counterparts ahead of an opening bell in North America trade today. The loonie immediately extended advance in the minutes following the Consumer Price Index report. Canada’s April inflation meets its central bank target of 2.0 percent, thus indicating low chance of rate hike in near term. As seen from the 1-minute USDCAD chart above, the currency pair fell about 30 pips from 1.0160 to 1.0140. Nonetheless, the greenback quickly saw a correction after thirty minutes, trades at $1.0166 at the time this report was written, higher than its level before the data release.

--- Written by Trang Nguyen, DailyFX Research Team for

To contact Trang, email

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.