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FOREX CENTRAL BANK WATCH: Interest Rate Expectations are Steady Ahead of U.S. CPI

FOREX CENTRAL BANK WATCH: Interest Rate Expectations are Steady Ahead of U.S. CPI

2011-02-17 02:08:00
DailyFX Research,
Share:

Central Bank

Current

Interest Rate

Next Policy

Decision Expectation

Market Conviction*

1-yr Exp**

Federal Reserve

0.00% - 0.25%

No change on 03/15

High

+48bps

European Central Bank

1.00%

No change on 03/03

High

+84bps

Bank of England

0.50%

No change on 03/10

Medium

+82bps

Swiss National Bank

0.25%

No change on 03/17

High

+28bps

Reserve Bank of Australia

4.75%

No change on 03/01

High

+35bps

Bank of Canada

1.00%

No change on 03/01

High

+83bps

Reserve Bank of

New Zealand

3.00%

No change on 03/09

High

+48bps

Bank of Japan

0.10%

No change on 03/15

High

+3bps

*Market Conviction is based on Overnight Index Swaps. A higher level of conviction implies a greater likelihood that the next policy decision expectation is accurate.

**Represents the number of basis points interest rates are expected to rise or fall over the next year.

Daily Update: Interest rate expectations remain near multi-month highs for the ECB, BOE, Fed, and Canada. Later today, the U.S. Consumer Price Index for January will be released. This follows yesterday’s PPI, which showed inflation at the wholesale level rising 0.8% month-over-month, down from 0.9% in December.

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