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FOREX CENTRAL BANK WATCH: ECB, BOE Interest Rate Expectations Surge to 1-Year Highs

FOREX CENTRAL BANK WATCH: ECB, BOE Interest Rate Expectations Surge to 1-Year Highs

2011-02-02 01:52:00
DailyFX Research,
Share:

Central Bank

Current

Interest Rate

Next Policy

Decision Expectation

Market Conviction*

1-yr Exp**

Federal Reserve

0.00% - 0.25%

No change on 03/15

High

+22bps

European Central Bank

1.00%

No change on 02/03

High

+83bps

Bank of England

0.50%

No change on 02/10

High

+72bps

Swiss National Bank

0.25%

No change on 03/17

High

+30bps

Reserve Bank of Australia

4.75%

No change on 03/01

High

+25bps

Bank of Canada

1.00%

No change on 03/01

High

+61bps

Reserve Bank of

New Zealand

3.00%

No change on 03/09

High

+67bps

Bank of Japan

0.10%

No change on 02/15

High

+3bps

*Market Conviction is based on Overnight Index Swaps. A higher level of conviction implies a greater likelihood that the next policy decision expectation is accurate.

**Represents the number of basis points interest rates are expected to rise or fall over the next year.

Daily Update: ECB and BOE interest rate expectations soared to the highest levels in over one year after the German unemployment rate fell to the lowest level since 1992 and manufacturing activity across Europe accelerated. Today’s economic calendar is light, but New Zealand employment figures will be released toward the end of the day.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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