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FOREX CENTRAL BANK WATCH: Interest Rate Expectations Fall Slightly Ahead of RBA Decision

FOREX CENTRAL BANK WATCH: Interest Rate Expectations Fall Slightly Ahead of RBA Decision

2011-02-01 02:34:00
DailyFX Research,
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Central Bank

Current

Interest Rate

Next Policy

Decision Expectation

Market Conviction*

1-yr Exp**

Federal Reserve

0.00% - 0.25%

No change on 03/15

High

+19bps

European Central Bank

1.00%

No change on 02/03

High

+74bps

Bank of England

0.50%

No change on 02/10

High

+54bps

Swiss National Bank

0.25%

No change on 03/17

High

+26bps

Reserve Bank of Australia

4.75%

No change on 02/01

High

+24bps

Bank of Canada

1.00%

No change on 03/01

High

+61bps

Reserve Bank of

New Zealand

3.00%

No change on 03/09

High

+68bps

Bank of Japan

0.10%

No change on 02/15

High

+4bps

*Market Conviction is based on Overnight Index Swaps. A higher level of conviction implies a greater likelihood that the next policy decision expectation is accurate.

**Represents the number of basis points interest rates are expected to rise or fall over the next year.

Daily Update: Interest rate expectations fell slightly ahead of the latest RBA policy decision and key unemployment data from Germany. The eventful economic calendar also features PMI Manufacturing data from much of the Euro-Zone and the United States.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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