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Central Bank


Interest Rate

Next Policy

Decision Expectation

Market Conviction*

1-yr Exp**

Federal Reserve

0.00% - 0.25%

No change on 03/15



European Central Bank


No change on 02/03



Bank of England


No change on 02/10



Swiss National Bank


No change on 03/17



Reserve Bank of Australia


No change on 02/01



Bank of Canada


No change on 03/01



Reserve Bank of

New Zealand


No change on 03/09



Bank of Japan


No change on 02/15



*Market Conviction is based on Overnight Index Swaps. A higher level of conviction implies a greater likelihood that the next policy decision expectation is accurate.

**Represents the number of basis points interest rates are expected to rise or fall over the next year.

Daily Update: Interest rate expectations fell slightly ahead of the latest RBA policy decision and key unemployment data from Germany. The eventful economic calendar also features PMI Manufacturing data from much of the Euro-Zone and the United States.