News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Wall Street
Mixed
Gold
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
GBP/USD
Mixed
USD/JPY
Mixed
More View more
Real Time News
  • Heads Up:🇷🇺 CBR Press Conference due at 12:00 GMT (15min) https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-10-23
  • Heads Up:🇩🇪 Bundesbank Mauderer Speech due at 12:00 GMT (15min) https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-10-23
  • The Spinning Top candlestick pattern forms part of the vast Japanese candlestick repertoire with its own distinct features. Gain a better understanding of the spinning top candlestick here: https://t.co/yXomAftdv8 https://t.co/9N3XRViUin
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 96.61%, while traders in EUR/USD are at opposite extremes with 69.17%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/4I6evWndsv
  • There is a great debate about which type of analysis is better for a trader. Is it better to be a fundamental trader or a technical trader? Find out here: https://t.co/aVAzFypAg1 https://t.co/afeXKfZT4K
  • 🇷🇺 Interest Rate Decision Actual: 4.25% Expected: 4.25% Previous: 4.25% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-10-23
  • Commodities Update: As of 10:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Oil - US Crude: 0.43% Gold: 0.29% Silver: 0.05% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/joUZve1zxA
  • Forex Update: As of 10:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇦🇺AUD: 0.44% 🇳🇿NZD: 0.36% 🇨🇭CHF: 0.32% 🇯🇵JPY: 0.20% 🇨🇦CAD: 0.17% 🇬🇧GBP: 0.02% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/jitwr50kLY
  • Heads Up:🇷🇺 Interest Rate Decision due at 10:30 GMT (15min) Expected: 4.25% Previous: 4.25% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-10-23
  • Indices Update: As of 10:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: FTSE 100: 1.38% France 40: 1.05% Germany 30: 0.78% Wall Street: 0.26% US 500: 0.22% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/T1eJUg4Xb4
USD/CAD Continues to Coil Ahead of BoC- RSI Trigger in Focus

USD/CAD Continues to Coil Ahead of BoC- RSI Trigger in Focus

2015-12-01 18:10:00
David Song, Strategist
Share:

Talking Points:

- USD/CAD Continues to Coil Ahead of Bank of Canada (BoC) Meeting; RSI Trigger in Focus.

- AUD/USD to Eye October High on Strong Australia 3Q Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Report.

- USDOLLAR Struggles as ISM Manufacturing Survey Contracts for First Time Since November 2012.

For more updates, sign up for David's e-mail distribution list.

USD/CAD

USD/CAD Daily Chart

Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

  • Even though Canada emerges from the technical recession, the Bank of Canada (BoC) interest rate decision may have a limited impact on USD/CAD should Governor Stephen Poloz continue to endorse a wait-and-see approach, which may keep the pair within a tight range amid the failed test of the September high (1.3456).
  • Long-term outlook remains bullish amid the diverging paths for monetary policy but, the dollar-loonie stands at risk for a larger correction as long as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) preserves the bearish formation carried over from the end of September.
  • The DailyFX Speculative Sentiment Index (SSI) shows retail crowd remains net-short USD/CAD since November 4, but the ratio appears to be holding within the recent extremes as it narrows to -2.23, with 31% of traders now long.

AUD/USD

AUD/USD Daily Chart
  • AUD/USD may continue to retrace the decline from the October high (0.7381) as the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) carries its current policy into 2016, while the region’s 3Q Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report is expected to highlight a stronger recovery, with the growth rate anticipated to expand an annualized 2.4%.
  • Despite waning expectations for a lower borrowing-costs in Australia, the pair appears to be stuck in a wedge/triangle formation, with the long-term outlook tilted to the downside as RBA Governor Glenn Stevens keeps the door open to further embark on the easing cycle.
  • Break/close above 0.7380 (50% retracement) to 0.7390 (78.6% expansion) may pave the way for a key reversal in AUD/USD amid the recent series of higher-lows in the exchange rate.

Join DailyFX on Demand for Real-Time SSI Updates Across the Majors!

USDOLLAR(Ticker: USDollar):

Index

Last

High

Low

Daily Change (%)

Daily Range (% of ATR)

DJ-FXCM Dollar Index

12156.29

12197.46

12147.88

-0.31

123.43%

USD/CAD Continues to Coil Ahead of BoC- RSI Trigger in FocusUSDOLLAR Daily Chart

Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

  • USDOLLAR under pressure as the ISM Manufacturing survey dips below 50 to mark the first contraction since November 2012, with the greenback at risk of facing additional headwinds should the key data prints highlight a weakened outlook for growth and inflation.
  • Nevertheless, with the ADP Employment report is anticipated to show another 190K expansion in private payrolls, a positive development may keep the dollar afloat ahead of the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report as current market forecast are calling for a 200K rise in employment.
  • Will retain a constructive view for the USDOLLAR as it continues to hold above former-resistance around 12,049 (78.6% retracement) to 12,082 (61.8% expansion), with the topside region of interest standing around12,273 (161.8% expansion) to 12,296 (100% expansion).
USD/CAD Continues to Coil Ahead of BoC- RSI Trigger in Focus

*As we approach the holidays and thus illiquid markets, it's worth reviewing principles that help protect your capital. We call these principles the "Traits of Successful Traders."

Three Factors Warn of Perfect Storm in FX Markets - Caution Advised

Read More:

COT - Gold Ownership Profile Similar to Prior Price Lows

US DOLLAR Technical Analysis: USD Set To Outperform On Center Stage?

USD/CAD Technical Analysis: Bearish Wedge Pattern Running Out of Real Estate

ST Topping Pattern Begins to Emerge in USDOLLAR

Chinese PMI Falls as Fed Nears Rate Hike

--- Written by David Song, Currency Analyst

To contact David, e-mail dsong@dailyfx.com. Follow me on Twitter at @DavidJSong.

To be added to David's e-mail distribution list, please follow this link.

Trade Alongsidethe DailyFX Team on DailyFX on Demand

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES