News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Bearish
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Wall Street
Bearish
Gold
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
GBP/USD
Bearish
USD/JPY
Mixed
More View more
Real Time News
  • EUR/JPY IG Client Sentiment: Our data shows traders are now net-long EUR/JPY for the first time since Mar 10, 2021 when EUR/JPY traded near 129.31. A contrarian view of crowd sentiment points to EUR/JPY weakness. https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/59zAMabrWa
  • Traders utilize varying time frames to speculate in the forex market. The two most common are long- and short-term-time frames which transmits through to trend and trigger charts. Learn more about time-frame analysis here: https://t.co/9S5tXIs3SX https://t.co/fW0bZwEmyN
  • Forex quotes reflect the price of different currencies at any point in time. Since a trader’s profit or loss is determined by movements in price, it is essential to develop a sound understanding of how to read currency pairs. Learn how to read quotes here: https://t.co/CNtqrKWDBY https://t.co/zwj1GW1Isz
  • 🇵🇱 Employment Growth YoY (MAY) Actual: 2.7% Expected: 2.5% Previous: 0.9% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-06-18
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Gold are long at 83.48%, while traders in France 40 are at opposite extremes with 75.51%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/HMT6LyyKQO
  • Heads Up:🇵🇱 Employment Growth YoY (MAY) due at 08:00 GMT (15min) Expected: 2.5% Previous: 0.9% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-06-18
  • Commodities Update: As of 07:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Silver: 1.32% Gold: 0.79% Oil - US Crude: -0.29% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/XrFcwZnnix
  • MACD who? The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is a technical indicator which simply measures the relationship of exponential moving averages (EMA). Find out how you can incorporate MACD into your trading strategy here: https://t.co/ZNs4Qi8ieG https://t.co/sNccrLBlhH
  • Forex Update: As of 07:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇯🇵JPY: 0.17% 🇨🇭CHF: 0.01% 🇪🇺EUR: -0.03% 🇦🇺AUD: -0.26% 🇳🇿NZD: -0.44% 🇬🇧GBP: -0.47% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/z7VcGOqJws
  • Indices Update: As of 07:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: US 500: 0.07% Wall Street: 0.06% Germany 30: 0.00% France 40: -0.05% FTSE 100: -0.13% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/m5r5lzDOiH
AUD/USD Retail FX Remain Net-Long; 0.7500 in Focus Ahead of NFP, RBA

AUD/USD Retail FX Remain Net-Long; 0.7500 in Focus Ahead of NFP, RBA

David Song, Strategist

Talking Points:

- AUD/USD Retail Crowd Remains Net-Long Even as Pair Posts Fresh-Low Ahead of RBA.

- SPX500 Continues to Lag Behind as Bearish RSI Momentum Remains in Play.

- USDOLLAR Remains Capped Ahead of Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), Holiday Weekend.

For more updates, sign up for David's e-mail distribution list.

AUD/USD

AUD/USD Daily Chart

Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

  • AUD/USD slips to fresh low (0.7532); close below 0.7570 (50% expansion) to 0.7590 (100% expansion) raises the risk for a further decline in the exchange rate.
  • May see a more meaningful run at 0.7490-0.7500 (61.8% expansion) amid growing bets the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will further reduce the cash rate at the April 7 policy meeting; will Governor Glenn Stevens toughen up the verbal intervention on the aussie as the exchange rate approaches 0.7500?
  • Despite the decline, the DailyFX Speculative Sentiment Index (SSI) shows retail crowd remains net-long AUD/USD since March 30, with the ratio currently holding at +1.83.

SPX500

SPX500 Daily Chart
  • Looks as though 2040 will continue to act as near-term support for SPX500, but may need a fundamental catalyst for a topside break as price continues to carve a string of lower-highs.
  • Will keep a close eye on the Relative Strength Index (RSI) as it retains the bearish trend carried over from the end of November; need a bullish break in the oscillator to favor a continuation of the bullish trend.
  • Even though the long-term outlook for global equities remain bullish, SPX500 may continue to lag behind its major counterparts as the Fed remains on course to normalize monetary policy in 2015.

Join DailyFX on Demand for Real-Time SSI Updates Across the Majors!

Read More:

Price & Time: USD/CAD Burden of Proof

USDCAD Reversal Scalps Pending Below 1.2700 Resistance Ahead of NFPs

USDOLLAR(Ticker: USDollar):

Index

Last

High

Low

Daily Change (%)

Daily Range (% of ATR)

DJ-FXCM Dollar Index

12038.90

12074.49

12022.39

-0.15

59.26%

AUD/USD Retail FX Remain Net-Long; 0.7500 in Focus Ahead of NFP, RBAAUD/USD Retail FX Remain Net-Long; 0.7500 in Focus Ahead of NFP, RBA

Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

  • Dow Jones-FXCM U.S. Dollar index may face choppy price action going into the U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report as market participation thins ahead of the Easter holiday; long-term structures remain in play.
  • Despite expectations for a 245K print along with a 5.5% jobless rate, ongoing weakness in Average Hourly Earnings may dampen the appeal of the greenback as the disinflationary environment drags on interest rate expectations.
  • Will continue to watch former support around 11,894 (61.8% retracement) to 11,901 (78.6% expansion) as support, and still need a close above 12,082 (61.8% expansion) to favor a continuation of the bullish trend.

Join DailyFX on Demand for Real-Time SSI Updates!

Release

GMT

Expected

Actual

Challenger Job Cuts (YoY) (MAR)

11:30

--

6.4%

Initial Jobless Claims (MAR 28)

12:30

286K

268K

Continuing Claims (MAR 21)

12:30

2405K

2325K

Trade Balance (FEB)

12:30

-$41.2B

-$35.4B

ISM New York (MAR)

13:45

62.0

50.0

Factory Orders (FEB)

14:00

-0.4%

0.2%

Click Here for the DailyFX Calendar

--- Written by David Song, Currency Analyst

To contact David, e-mail dsong@dailyfx.com. Follow me on Twitter at @DavidJSong.

To be added to David's e-mail distribution list, please follow this link.

Trade Alongsidethe DailyFX Team on DailyFX on Demand

Looking to use the DailyFX Trade Signals LIVE? Check out Mirror Trader.

New to FX? Watch this Video

Join us to discuss the outlook for the major currencies on the DailyFXForums

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES