News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Wall Street
Mixed
Gold
Bearish
GBP/USD
Bearish
USD/JPY
Bullish
More View more
Real Time News
  • Did you know a Doji candlestick signals market indecision and the potential for a change in direction. What are the top five types of Doji candlesticks? Find out: https://t.co/td5WA4hCZC https://t.co/lKvEMf4QRe
  • Weakness in equity markets continued last week as losses built and technical patterns hint further bearishness might be ahead. Get your #equities update from @PeterHanksFX here: https://t.co/GGVrB3r7if https://t.co/HPHUC8EG3o
  • Forex liquidity makes it easy for traders to sell and buy currencies without delay, and also creates tight spreads for favorable quotes. Low costs and large scope to various markets make it the most frequently traded market in the world. Learn more here: https://t.co/5uSWKoLkd6 https://t.co/q80wSAoxXP
  • There is a great debate about which type of analysis is better for a trader. Is it better to be a fundamental trader or a technical trader? Find out here: https://t.co/aVAzFypAg1 https://t.co/7mc19Gxrvm
  • #Gold prices succumbed to selling pressure as the US Dollar soared this past week What is #XAUUSD facing these next few days and can these fundamental forces extend its selloff? Check out my outlook here - https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/forecast/weekly/chf/2020/09/26/Gold-Price-Outlook-Rising-US-Dollar-Sinks-XAUUSD-Will-Losses-Extend.html?CHID=9&QPID=917702&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Dubrovsky&utm_campaign=twr https://t.co/gPhy0KoW3W
  • GDP (Gross Domestic Product) economic data is deemed highly significant in the forex market. GDP figures are used as an indicator by fundamentalists to gauge the overall health and potential growth of a country. Learn use GDP data to your advantage here: https://t.co/38gTDnpPbn https://t.co/Xtk5g4JQEB
  • Many people are attracted to forex trading due to the amount of leverage that brokers provide. Leverage allows traders to gain more exposure in financial markets than what they are required to pay for. Learn about FX leverage here: https://t.co/3Wked6GBOp https://t.co/SsUguHB39W
  • Key levels in forex tend to draw attention to traders in the market. These are psychological prices which tie into the human psyche and way of thinking. Learn about psychological levels here:https://t.co/1oygcFMFNs https://t.co/aD1ZWhTWZp
  • The price of #oil may continue to trade in a narrow range as the rebound from the September low ($36.13) appears to have stalled ahead of the month high ($43.43). Get your #commodities update from @DavidJSong here: https://t.co/719LgjFmYG https://t.co/SSoqjONUzA
  • The Australian Dollar may extend its slide lower despite the planned easing of Covid-19 restrictions, as the market continues to price in an RBA rate cut on October 6. Get your #currencies update from @DanielGMoss here: https://t.co/HJpngnerzY https://t.co/g6X8ABQDwY
AUD/USD Outlook at Risk on Dovish RBA- EUR/USD Breakout Takes Shape

AUD/USD Outlook at Risk on Dovish RBA- EUR/USD Breakout Takes Shape

2014-05-05 15:40:00
David Song, Strategist
Share:

Talking Points:

- USDOLLAR Outlook to Turn Increasingly Bearish on Close Below 10,440

- EUR/USD Bullish Breakout Taking Shape; Looking For Close Above 1.3870

- AUD/USD& AUDJPY to Retain Narrow Range Going Into RBA Meeting

The Dow Jones-FXCM U.S. Dollar Index (Ticker: USDollar) continues to show a limited reaction to the positive developments coming out of the world’s largest economy, and the reserve currency remains at risk of giving back the advance from back in October (10,354) as the Federal Reserve remains reluctant to move away from its highly accommodative policy stance.

Index

Last

High

Low

Daily Change (%)

Daily Range (% of ATR)

DJ-FXCM Dollar Index

10445.87

10449.45

10438.74

-0.01

40.51%

Even though we’re still watching the monthly opening range, the USDOLLAR may have set the high for May (10,495) as price & the Relative Strength Index (RSI) retain the bearish trend from earlier this year, and a close below the 10,440 region would favor a further decline in the greenback as it fails to preserve the range-bound price action carried over from April.

With Fed Chair Janet Yellen scheduled to speak later this week, the fresh batch of central bank rhetoric may continue to heighten the bearish sentiment surrounding the dollar should the prepared remarks drag on interest rate expectations, and we will retain our approach of looking for opportunities to ‘sell bounces’ until we see a meaningful shift in the Fed’s policy outlook.

AUD/USD Outlook at Risk on Dovish RBA- EUR/USD Breakout Takes Shape

Join DailyFX on Demandto Cover Current U.S. dollar Trade Setups

Read More:

FX Price Action Favors Selling US Dollar and Japanese Yen Rallies

Crude COT Positioning Remains Just off of Record

USDOLLAR Daily

AUD/USD Outlook at Risk on Dovish RBA- EUR/USD Breakout Takes Shape

Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

  • Failure to Retain Range-Bound Prices Raises Risk for Further Losses
  • Interim Resistance: 10,602 (38.2 retracement) to 10,615 (78.6 expansion)
  • Interim Support: 10,406 (1.618 expansion)

Release

GMT

Expected

Actual

Markit Purchasing Manager Index Services (APR F)

13:45

54.5

55.0

Markit Purchasing Manager Index Composite (APR F)

13:45

--

55.6

ISM Non-Manufacutring Composite (APR)

14:00

54.0

55.2

Click Here for the DailyFX Calendar

--- Written by David Song, Currency Analyst

To contact David, e-mail dsong@dailyfx.com. Follow me on Twitter at @DavidJSong.

To be added to David's e-mail distribution list, please follow this link.

Trade Alongsidethe DailyFX Team on DailyFX on Demand

Looking to use the DailyFX Trade Signals LIVE? Check out Mirror Trader.

New to FX? Watch this Video

Join us to discuss the outlook for the major currencies on the DailyFXForums

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES