News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Wall Street
Mixed
Gold
Bullish
GBP/USD
Mixed
USD/JPY
Mixed
More View more
Real Time News
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 100.00%, while traders in Wall Street are at opposite extremes with 70.59%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/fRoUoqtGbc
  • Heads Up:🇲🇽 Unemployment Rate (DEC) due at 12:00 GMT (15min) Expected: 4.3% Previous: 4.4% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-01-21
  • Commodities Update: As of 11:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Silver: 0.31% Gold: 0.02% Oil - US Crude: -0.82% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/Kn8mdyS57Y
  • Forex Update: As of 11:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇳🇿NZD: 0.53% 🇬🇧GBP: 0.43% 🇦🇺AUD: 0.27% 🇨🇭CHF: 0.18% 🇯🇵JPY: 0.10% 🇨🇦CAD: 0.03% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/mwWxyHchSd
  • Euro’s forecast this quarter? Get your free forecast here: https://t.co/kpBYVz31Bd #DailyFXGuides https://t.co/Im099ElT61
  • Indices Update: As of 11:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Germany 30: 0.49% US 500: 0.24% Wall Street: 0.16% FTSE 100: 0.14% France 40: -0.07% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/rsPhYcZW22
  • #HSI Hang Seng Index finished slightly below 30,000 mark as Southbound net flow via the stock connections fell three days in a row to HK$ 16,263 million, from a record high of 26,592 million on Jan 19th. Total southbound flows contributed to 31% HKEX's daily turnover on Thur. https://t.co/YkxXUHEFRa
  • Greed is a natural human emotion that affects individuals to varying degrees. Unfortunately, when viewed in the context of trading, greed has proven to be a hindrance more often than it has assisted traders. Learn more about controlling greed here: https://t.co/5GXReUsKRj https://t.co/edSSfv0SfT
  • Join @PaulRobinsonFX 's webinar at 5:30 AM EST/10:30 AM GMT where you can learn how to become a better trader in the current market climate. Register here: https://t.co/WeWGKtdlyz https://t.co/MPcM0lepdX
  • Heads Up:🇬🇧 BoE Credit Conditions Survey due at 09:30 GMT (15min) https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-01-21
USD Poised to Benefit from Fed Rhetoric- Euro Eyes 1.3120

USD Poised to Benefit from Fed Rhetoric- Euro Eyes 1.3120

David Song, Strategist

Index

Last

High

Low

Daily Change (%)

Daily Range (% of ATR)

DJ-FXCM Dollar Index

10276.33

10281.13

10246.48

0.08

86.52%

Forex_USD_Poised_to_Benefit_from_Fed_Rhetoric_Euro_Eyes_1.3120_body_ScreenShot239.png, USD Poised to Benefit from Fed Rhetoric- Euro Eyes 1.3120

The Dow Jones-FXCM U.S. Dollar Index (Ticker: USDollar) is now trading 0.11 percent higher from the open after moving 80 percent of its average true range, and the bullish sentiment surrounding the dollar may continue to produce a shallow correction in the index as we see a growing number of Fed officials strike an improved outlook for the world’s largest economy. As the 30-minute relative strength index comes up against overbought territory, we may see another small pullback in the index, but the fundamental developments coming out of the U.S. may continue to prop up the greenback as the central bank anticipates a more broad-based recovery this year. In turn, we will continue to look for short-term pullbacks to buy into the USDOLLAR, and the reserve currency may trader higher in the week ahead as we anticipate a slew of hawkish comments from Fed policy makers.

Forex_USD_Poised_to_Benefit_from_Fed_Rhetoric_Euro_Eyes_1.3120_body_ScreenShot240.png, USD Poised to Benefit from Fed Rhetoric- Euro Eyes 1.3120

Central bank dove Charles Evans, who serves on the FOMC this year, said the committee may be able to ‘turn off’ its easing cycle prior to achieving a 7 percent unemployment as discouraged workers return to the labor force, and the ongoing recovery in the labor market may prompt the FOMC to switch gears later this year as the outlook for growth and inflation picks up. As we have board members Esther George and James Bullard scheduled to speak next week, we should hear more central bank rhetoric talking down the scope for additional monetary support, and we are still looking for a run at the 2012 high (10,323) amid the shift in the policy outlook. However, we may see a failed attempt at the key figure as the relative strength index approaches resistance (76), and we may see a corrective move back towards the 78.6 percent Fibonacci retracement around 10,118 as the rally remains overbought.

Forex_USD_Poised_to_Benefit_from_Fed_Rhetoric_Euro_Eyes_1.3120_body_ScreenShot241.png, USD Poised to Benefit from Fed Rhetoric- Euro Eyes 1.3120

Although the greenback lost ground against three of the four components, the Euro tumbled 0.96 percent following the European Central Bank (ECB) interest rate decision, and the single currency may face additional headwinds over the next 24-hours of trading should the EU Summit disappoint. As the governments operating under the monetary union struggle to meet on common ground, German Chancellor Angela Merkel warned that the group may be unable to reach a budget deal as the rebalancing in public finances drags on the real economy. In turn, the pullback from 1.3709 may turn into a larger reversal, and we will be keeping a close eye on the 38.2 percent Fib from the 2009 high to the 2010 low around 1.3120 as the pair searches for support.

--- Written by David Song, Currency Analyst

To contact David, e-mail dsong@dailyfx.com. Follow me on Twitter at @DavidJSong.

To be added to David's e-mail distribution list, please follow this link.

New to FX? Watch this Video

Join us to discuss the outlook for the major currencies on the DailyFXForums

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES