News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Mixed
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Wall Street
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Bearish
GBP/USD
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
USD/JPY
Bullish
More View more
Real Time News
  • Fed Chair Powell: -Pandemic, new virus strains still provide considerable downside risks -Will take quite a while to get to herd immunity -Vaccine rollout likely to be a struggle -Nothing more important to economy now than vaccinations
  • Fed Chair Powell: -Coming months' rise in inflation will be transient -We will be patient and not react when we see modest bumps in inflation -Very unlikely that we'll see troubling inflation -Not going to adopt a formula on inflation
  • Fed Chair Powell: -Financial vulnerabilities are 'moderate' right now overall -Asset prices have recently been driven by vaccines, fiscal steps -Link between interest rates and asset prices not so strong
  • Fed Chair Powell: -Fiscal response to economic downturn has been strong and sustained -We are a long way away from 'returning to normal' with about 9 million Americans still unemployed -The real unemployment rate is closer to 10% -Very appropriate to be highly accommodative
  • Fed Chair Powell: -Declines to comment when asked about recent $GME stock price activity, notes financial conditions are monitored very broadly -Carefully examining aspects of non-bank sector #Stocks #StockMarket #FOMC
  • We live in remarkable times.. https://t.co/PV9XZd4nXW
  • Fed Chair Powell: -Important to maintain anchored inflation expectations -Policy to remain accommodative until goals are reached -Economy is far away from jobs and inflation goals -Likely to take 'some time' before substantial progress $XAUUSD $GC_F $GLD
  • First question of the presser on Gamestop! Good job @jeannasmialek
  • US Dollar Index extends gains as equities continue to sell off $DXY $USD https://t.co/AEZSfrnyqt
  • Fed Chair Powell: -Strongly committed to achieving dual mandate -Monetary policy to keep giving economy powerful support -Covid resurgence weighing on economy and employment -Future path of economy remains highly uncertain but has proved more resilient than expected $SPX $USD
Forex: USD Maintains Broader Trend Despite Fed Easing- GBP Eyes 1.62

Forex: USD Maintains Broader Trend Despite Fed Easing- GBP Eyes 1.62

David Song, Strategist

Index

Last

High

Low

Daily Change (%)

Daily Range (% of ATR)

DJ-FXCM Dollar Index

9955.67

9967.13

9947.67

0.08

54.72%

Forex_USD_Maintains_Broader_Trend_Despite_Fed_Easing-_GBP_Eyes_162_body_ScreenShot110.png, Forex: USD Maintains Broader Trend Despite Fed Easing- GBP Eyes 1.62

Although the Dow Jones-FXCM U.S. Dollar Index (Ticker: USDollar) remains 0.06 percent higher from the open, we may see the greenback consolidate going into the end of the week as the 30-minute relative strength index reverts back from oversold territory. In turn, the downward trending channel may continue to take shape over the remainder of the year, and bearish sentiment surrounding the USD may get carried into the following year as the Federal Reserve retains a dovish tone for monetary policy. However, as headlines coming out of the EU Summit fails to prop up investor confidence, a drop in risk-taking behavior should increase the appeal of the reserve currency, and we may see the index push back towards the 10,000 figure as the new initiatives taken on by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) comes under scrutiny.

Forex_USD_Maintains_Broader_Trend_Despite_Fed_Easing-_GBP_Eyes_162_body_ScreenShot111.png, Forex: USD Maintains Broader Trend Despite Fed Easing- GBP Eyes 1.62

Although Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke argued that the expansion in the open-ended asset purchase program does not constitute more monetary stimulus, U.S. lawmakers labeled the move as ‘a continuation of unnecessary and dangerous monetary policy to make up for failed fiscal policy,’ and warned that the central bank has the ‘wrong prescription’ as the ‘Fiscal Cliff’ continues to threaten the economic recovery. However, as the Fed extends its dollar-swap agreements through February 2014, we may see the FOMC remain supportive in the following year, and the central bank may keep the open to expand its balance sheet further as the committee looks for a stronger recovery. Nevertheless, as the index preserves the bullish trend from September, with the relative strength holding above support (41), the set of higher lows in December could pave the way for a higher high, and we will look for another run at 10,100 figure once the index clears the downward trend from the June highs.

Forex_USD_Maintains_Broader_Trend_Despite_Fed_Easing-_GBP_Eyes_162_body_ScreenShot112.png, Forex: USD Maintains Broader Trend Despite Fed Easing- GBP Eyes 1.62

Three of the four components weakened against the greenback, led by a 0.40 percent decline in the Japanese Yen, while the British Pound shed 0.11 percent as it holds within the previous day’s range. Indeed, the Bank of England (BoE) Minutes highlight the biggest event risk for the following week, but another uptick in the headline reading for U.K. inflation may pave the way for another test of the 23.6 percent Fib from the 2009 low to high around 1.6200 as the central bank drops its dovish tone for monetary policy. As above-target inflation threatens the outlook for price stability, the BoE remains poised to shift gears in 2013, and we should see the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) slowly move away from its easing cycle as the region emerges from the double-dip recession.

--- Written by David Song, Currency Analyst

To contact David, e-mail dsong@dailyfx.com. Follow me on Twitter at @DavidJSong.

To be added to David's e-mail distribution list, please follow this link.

New to FX? Watch this Video

Join us to discuss the outlook for the major currencies on the DailyFXForums

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES