News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.



Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events


Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

Free Trading Guides
Please try again
More View more
Real Time News
  • Gold Prices Test $1800 Ahead of Fed Meeting, Real Yields Fall
  • The Hang Seng Tech index tumbled 5.4% amid intensified fears about China's regulatory risk on various sectors. - Tencent (-6.2%) - Alibaba (-5.0%) - Meituan (-13.9%) - Hang Seng Index (-2.5%)
  • The continuity seen across these volatility cycles is a good thing. Historical precedence offer a blueprint for identifying conditions supportive for a vol-event to occur, and how they may unfold. Deepen your knowledge of historical volatility here:
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Silver are long at 93.33%, while traders in Wall Street are at opposite extremes with 79.17%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX:
  • Risk management is one of the most important aspects of successful trading, but is often overlooked. What are some basic principles or risk management? Find out from @PaulRobinsonFX here:
  • Forex Update: As of 04:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇯🇵JPY: 0.16% 🇬🇧GBP: 0.05% 🇪🇺EUR: 0.00% 🇦🇺AUD: -0.02% 🇨🇭CHF: -0.03% 🇳🇿NZD: -0.06% View the performance of all markets via
  • Indices Update: As of 04:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: France 40: 0.12% FTSE 100: -0.02% Germany 30: -0.04% US 500: -0.16% Wall Street: -0.16% View the performance of all markets via
  • Forex sentiment analysis can be a useful tool to help traders understand and act on price behavior. Learn how to get the most out of understanding trader sentiment here:
  • China considers levies on steel exports to tame domestic prices - BBG
  • Emotions are often a key driving force behind FOMO. If left unchecked, they can lead traders to neglect trading plans and exceed comfortable levels of risk. Read on and get your emotions in check here:
USD Pullback To Provide Buying Opportunity, JPY Correction In Play

USD Pullback To Provide Buying Opportunity, JPY Correction In Play

David Song, Strategist





Daily Change (%)

Daily Range (% of ATR)

DJ-FXCM Dollar Index






USD_Pullback_To_Provide_Buying_Opportunity_JPY_Correction_In_Play_body_ScreenShot106.png, USD Pullback To Provide Buying Opportunity, JPY Correction In Play

The Dow Jones-FXCM U.S. Dollar Index (Ticker: USDollar) is 0.33 percent higher from the open as renewed fears surrounding the debt crisis dragged on risk sentiment, and the greenback may continue to retrace the decline from March as the downward trending channel gives way. With support holding at 9,900, the index looks to have carved out a higher low in April, and the bullish sentiment underlining the reserve currency should gather pace in 2012 as the Federal Reserve continues to soften its dovish tone for monetary policy. As the highly anticipated U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls report comes into focus, we may see the dollar consolidate going into the end of the week, but a positive development should prop up the reserve currency as it dampens expectations for additional monetary support.

USD_Pullback_To_Provide_Buying_Opportunity_JPY_Correction_In_Play_body_ScreenShot107.png, USD Pullback To Provide Buying Opportunity, JPY Correction In Play

As the USDOLLAR maintains the upward trending channel from earlier this year, the greenback looks poised to make another run at the 78.6 percent Fibonacci retracement around 10,118, and we will maintain a bullish outlook for the reserve currency as the Fed continues to talk down expectations for another round of quantitative easing. Indeed, the shift in the policy outlook is likely to bear down on current risk trends that dictate price action for the major currencies, and we should see fundamentals playing an increased role in driving market volatility as FOMC looks to conclude its easing cycle this year. Nevertheless, the index looks poised for a pullback as it approaches the upper bounds of the channel, and we should see the dollar consolidate ahead of Friday’s employment report as market participants anticipate to see a slower rate of growth. However, in light of the recent trend, NFP’s may surprise to upside, and a strong rise in job growth should fuel a bullish response in the dollar as the fundamental outlook for the world’s largest economy continues to improve.

USD_Pullback_To_Provide_Buying_Opportunity_JPY_Correction_In_Play_body_ScreenShot108.png, USD Pullback To Provide Buying Opportunity, JPY Correction In Play

Three of the four components weakened against the greenback, led by a 0.79 percent decline in the Euro, while the Japanese Yen advanced 0.17 percent to maintain the range carried over from the end of March. Indeed, there’s speculation that the USDJPY has carved out a near-term top around 84.00, but the recent decline in the exchange rate looks more like a correction as the Bank of Japan maintains its pledge to meet the 1 percent target for inflation. Although the dollar-yen slipped below 82.00 over the last two weeks, the pair has yet to close below the key figure, and it seems as though the pair is building a short-term base for a move higher. However, should 82.00 fail to hold, we will be closely watching the 50.0 percent Fib from 2011 high to low around 80.50 to support.

--- Written by David Song, Currency Analyst

To contact David, e-mail Follow me on Twitter at @DavidJSong

To be added to David's e-mail distribution list, send an e-mail with subject line "Distribution List" to

Join us to discuss the outlook for the major currencies on the DailyFX Forums

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.