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  • USD/JPY trades to a fresh monthly (110.57) amid the pickup in longer-dated US Treasury yields, and the exchange rate may stage a larger advance over the coming days. Get your market update from @DavidJSong here:
  • US yields continue to climb, with the 10-year Treasury yield trading above 1.45% $ZN $ZB
  • $USDJPY bull thesis appears quite constructive. Technicals show topside breakout above trend resistance following a period of consolidation. Bond yields providing the fundamental catalyst. Eyes on Aug/YTD highs. A broad-based deterioration in market sentiment poses downside risk.
  • WTI posting another session of strong gains, currently flirting with the 74 handle $CL #Oil #OOTT
  • The New Zealand Dollar’s bullish breakout attempt in early-September was rebuffed. Price action at the end of the month is telling a different story. Get your market update from @CVecchioFX here:
  • So much for that Evergrande recovery. Shares of the troubled Chinese property developer are down approximately -12% today following yesterday's impressive rally (biggest in a year)
  • Retail trading platform Robinhood announces hire of new Chief Compliance Officer amid regulatory scrutiny
  • There is a ridiculous number of scheduled Fed speeches on the docket next week. Powell specifically will be speaking multiple times including at an ECB hosted forum on central banking (which also has a panel with Fed, ECB, BOE and BOJ heads)
  • USD Ascending Triangle, Bullish for Q4 - #DXY chart on @TradingView
  • Credit rating agency Standard & Poor's is due to give its sovereign credit rating update on Germany today ahead of weekend national elections
Weekly Trading Forecast: Risk Trends Shudder as the Market Processes Growth Fears and Monetary Policy Shortcomings

Weekly Trading Forecast: Risk Trends Shudder as the Market Processes Growth Fears and Monetary Policy Shortcomings

Risk appetite has been a primary feature of the market’s landscape throughout 2019 thus far. However, this speculative charge seemed to find its traction in hope – hope that trade wars were easing, central banks would raise support and growth would level out. Those hopes are wavering and so too is confidence.

Australian Dollar Forecast: Australian Dollar Likely Loser In Ugly Contest With US Cousin

The Australian Dollar gained when the US Fed struck a dovish tone last week. But markets soon realized that what applies to the Fed probably goes double for the RBA.

Crude Oil Forecast: Rising Global Growth Concerns Sink Oil Prices

As more of the US Treasury yield curve sinks into inversion territory, concerns about global growth have flared – dragging down energy prices in the process.

British Pound Forecast: And The Brexit Band Played On

Another week consisting of point, counterpoint, noise and rumors ends up with no-one any the wiser as to how and when Brexit will end. And yet Sterling continues to battle to keep its head above water.

US Dollar Forecast: Post-FOMC US Dollar Recovery to Face Slowing GDP Report

Developments coming out of the U.S. may continue to drag on the dollar as ‘data arriving since September suggest that growth is slowing somewhat more than expected.’

Gold Forecast: Gold Price Outlook Clouded by Recession Signals, US Econ Data Drop

Gold prices rose as a dovish Fed sent bond yields lower and fears of a recession subsequently increased. Near-term XAU/USD outlook neutral, precious metal eyeing US GDP and core PCE inflation.

Euro Forecast: Euro at Risk on Data Flow and ECB Comments, Brexit Vote May Eyed

The Euro may face further selling pressure as incoming data flow and downbeat ECB commentary weigh on policy expectations. Another Brexit vote threatens volatility.

Equities Forecast –Dow Jones, FTSE 100 and DAX 30 Fundamental Forecast

The Dow Jones will cope with a dovish Fed and lower growth forecasts while European equity markets look to avoid a “no-deal” Brexit.

currencies vs usd

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