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Weekly Fundamental Forecast: Trade Wars, Government Shutdown and Brexit Threaten to Stir Volatility

Weekly Fundamental Forecast: Trade Wars, Government Shutdown and Brexit Threaten to Stir Volatility

While this past week saw markets settle further from the unusually volatile December, traders should not grow too comfortable. There are a host of themes – from the US government shutdown to impending Brexit vote – which could readily offer a fundamental charge in the week ahead.

Australian Dollar Forecast –Australian Dollar Cannot Bank On Trade Headline Support

The Australian Dollar has risen into the new year as hopes for détente between the US and China on trade have lifted risk appetite. This is likely to prove an unreliable source of support

Euro Forecast: Fundamentals Continue to Erode - December CPI on Thursday

The Euro has meandered around at the start of 2019, lacking any clear direction. Why might that be the case?

Oil Forecast –Fed-Induced Crude Oil Price Rise at Risk as China, US Demand Ebbs

The rally in crude oil prices, the best winning streak since 2012, is undermined by economic weakness in China and slowing growth in the US. They are the largest consumers of oil.

British Pound Forecast –Brexit Vote on Tuesday Will Not End the Current Bedlam

Parliament will vote down PM May’s Brexit bill on Tuesday evening opening the door to further mayhem. When will Sterling throw in the towel?

US dollar Forecast –US Dollar May Rise as Data Flow Drives Rethink of Fed Policy Bets

The US Dollar may trade broadly higher as a barrage of economic data prompts a deep rethink of the recent dovish shift in Fed monetary policy expectations.

Equities Forecast –FTSE 100 Awaits Brexit Vote, S&P 500 Looks to Earnings Season

Theresa May’s government will likely be the headline event of the week as it looks to pressure the FTSE 100. Meanwhile, US indices will enjoy a firmly dovish Federal Reserve.

See what live coverage is scheduled to cover key event risk for the FX and capital markets on the DailyFX Webinar Calendar.

See how retail traders are positioning in the majors using the IG Client Sentiment readings on the sentiment page.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.