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Weekly Fundamental Forecast: Risk Aversion Threatens to Define October with Capital and FX Markets on Edge

Weekly Fundamental Forecast: Risk Aversion Threatens to Define October with Capital and FX Markets on Edge

A notable sense of fear spread through the financial system this past week. Where concern could be attributed to certain asset classes or a fleeting swoon previously, there was little denying the storm brewing through Friday. Now, as stability hangs in the balance, the masses are recognizing the long list of threats we have accumulated these past months.

Japanese Yen Forecast - Yen Price May Rise, Look Past BoJ, Eye Vulnerable Stock Markets

A lull in key event risk exposed stocks to bigger adverse fundamental themes as the Japanese Yen rose. It may keep going, looking past the BoJ as the S&P 500 still remains vulnerable.

Australian Dollar Forecast – Australian Dollar Might Get Some Respite If Inflation Holds Up

The Australian Dollar remains very short of fundamental support but, with AUD/USD close to 2018 lows again, may not be hammered any harder this week

Oil Forecast – Crude Oil Set For Third Weekly Decline Chasing Stock Markets Lower

Crude oil is working on its worst month since 2016 as risk sentiment soured significantly as October comes to a close and a mixed signal is coming from OPEC on potential production.

Canadian Dollar Forecast – USD/CAD Rate Threatens Bearish Trend Ahead of U.S. NFP Report

USD/CAD rallies to fresh monthly highs even as the Bank of Canada (BoC) delivers a hawkish rate-hike, and topside targets remain on the radar as it threatens the bearish trend from June.

British Pound Forecast – Brexit, Budget and the Bank of England

A busy week for Sterling traders ahead but the overall market trend will continue to be dominated by Brexit, and that may not be good news for an under-the-cosh British Pound

Euro Forecast - After ECB, Downside in Focus as Italian Issues Fester

A dovish tilt by President Mario Draghi at the October European Central Bank meeting pulled the rug on the Euro at the end of the week, paving the way for more downside ahead.

US Dollar Forecast – US Dollar Aims Higher on Liquidity Appeal Amid Market Rout

The US Dollar looks likely to continue upward after hitting a 17-month high as its unrivaled liquidity continues to attract demand amid broad-based risk aversion.

Gold Forecast – Gold Price Outlook Tied to Equity Performance, S&P500 Rebound

Gold has been the beneficiary of a highly volatile equity market this month and the trend could continue if equities fail to stabilize.

See what live coverage is scheduled to cover key event risk for the FX and capital markets on the DailyFX Webinar Calendar.

See how retail traders are positioning in the majors using the IG Client Sentiment readings on the sentiment page.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.