The US Dollar has fallen for seven weeks straight, its worst showing in over a decade. Can the Fed rate decision and US jobs data improve its fortunes?
US Dollar Forecast: US Dollar to Focus on External News Flow, Look Past FOMC and NFP
The US Dollar is more likely to find a lifeline from external news-flow rather than the upcoming FOMC policy announcement and January’s employment report.
The Euro’s gains versus the US Dollar extended into a fourth consecutive week to start 2018 (and the Euro trade-weighted index is up +9.2% over the past 52-weeks). Over the next few days, there are two instances in which the Euro will be in charge of its own destiny (overcoming whatever pull the British Pound and the US Dollar have otherwise).
British Pound Forecast: Remain Bullish But Don't Chase Trades Too Hard
A fair few bullish tailwinds have pushed GBP to multi- month and year highs and the backdrop remains positive. However with current levels elevated, don’t force trades, be patient.
Key developments coming out of the U.S. economy may curb the recent decline in USD/JPY should Fed officials show a greater willingness to deliver a March rate-hike.
The Australian Dollar could be somewhat less a prisoner of the US Administration this week, which may leave it looking a little weaker than it has been.
Oil prices continued to rise this week, as another hit to the U.S. Dollar combined with a tenth consecutive week of drawdown in U.S. supplies helped to keep prices elevated.
Gold prices marched higher this week as the dollar slump continues - but how long can this last? Here are the updated targets & invalidation levels that matter.
Equities Forecast: S&P 500 Faces FOMC, NFPs; DAX, FTSE Sell-offs Bring Trends into Question
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