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How Much More Run for Record US Equities, Dollar on Fed Certainty?

How Much More Run for Record US Equities, Dollar on Fed Certainty?

Paul Robinson, Tyler Yell, CMT, James Stanley, Christopher Vecchio, CFA, David Song, Jeremy Wagner, CEWA-M, John Kicklighter, Oliver Morrison, Renee Mu,


US equities have charged to record highs while the Dollar has extended its restrained but steady approach amid certainty of a March Fed hike. These will be convictions difficult to sustain amid NFPs, trade policy debate and Brexit votes next week.

US Dollar Forecast: Dollar Fully Primed for March Fed Hike Leses its Motivation?

The Dollar’s posture heading into the new week is bullish on the back of a remarkably decisive outlook for a Fed hike at the next official FOMC meeting.

Euro Forecast: ECB on Euro's Radar, Though French Election Remains Key Driver

The recent tightening in French-German yield spreads indicates market anxiety over a Le Pen victory is falling; the ECB probably won’t do anything noteworthy this week.

Japanese Yen Forecast: USD/JPY Carves Bullish Series Ahead of NFP on Hawkish Fed Rhetoric

USD/JPY may continue to retrace the decline from earlier this year as a growing number of Fed officials highlight a hawkish outlook for monetary policy, with U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) projected to increase another 190K in February.

British Pound Forecast: Eroding Services PMI Stokes Fear of ‘Brexit Permeation’ in the U.K. Economy

This was a brutal week for the British Pound, as the currency put in five consecutive days of losses against the U.S. Dollar to tally a total move of -2.8% from last Friday’s highs down to this Friday’s low.

Chinese Yuan Forecast: Yuan to Take Clues from New Yuan Loans, NFP

The USD/CNH broke above a key level of resistance at 6.8845 on Friday, driven by the Dollar advance following an increased odds in Fed rate hike.

Gold Forecast: Gold Prices Remain in Bull Trend Despite 2nd Down Week in 10

For only the second time in ten weeks, gold prices finished the week lower. The biggest development of the past week driving gold lower was the Fed’s interest rate expectations.

New Zealand Dollar Forecast: Kiwi Shot Down By Dovish Central Bank and US Protectionism

The New Zealand Dollar continues to weaken after a shift in RBNZ policy last month.

Equities Forecast: Equity Indices (S&P 500, DAX, FTSE 100) Look to Maintain Bullish Underpinnings

At the start of last week markets were quiet until U.S. President Donald Trump gave a speech to congress Tuesday evening, providing stocks with a shot in the arm on Wednesday.  

Oil Forecast: Oil’s Market Structure Shows Limited Downside, Charts Appear Bullish

The price of Oil has fallen the second most in percentage terms in 2017 over the last week, but price support continues to align with the Bulls.

See what live coverage is scheduled to cover key event risk for the FX and capital markets on the DailyFX Webinar Calendar.

See the DailyFX 1Q 2017 forecasts for the Dollar, Euro, Pound, Equities and Gold in the DailyFX Trading Guides page.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.