Weekly Trading Forecast: What Currencies Face Volatility Amid Low Volatility Global Markets
Extremely thin trading for the capital markets is sidelining FX trends as well. Volatility in the majors continues to outpace its financial peers, but can Janet Yellen's remarks at the Jackson Hole Symposium leverage monetary policy speculation and turn activity to conviction and trend?
US Dollar Forecast – Dollar Looks to Yellen to Turn Volatility into Trend, Will She Acquiesce?
Indecision is a universal market theme. And, the Dollar has not escaped the sedation. A confluence of conviction and participation is proving exceptionally difficult to muster due to the growing sense of skepticism in fundamental value as well as the seasonal lull that we expect through the ‘Summer doldrums’.
European Euro Forecast – Euro Traders Look to US Dollar for Next Major Moves
The Euro surged to multi-month highs versus the US Dollar despite a fairly uneventful week for both Europe and the US.
Japanese Yen Forecast – Clues and Hints Point to BoJ Bazooka in September: Will USD/JPY Respond?
Last week we looked at the strength in the Yen as markets continued to price-out QE hopes after the Bank of Japan failed to deliver at their July meeting. But as we’ve been noting, just because the BoJ didn’t deliver on expectations in July, this doesn’t mean that the bank is yet ‘done.’
Australian Dollar Forecast – Australian Dollar May Fall Further on Yellen Jackson Hole Speech
The Australian Dollar vulnerable to deeper losses if Fed Chair Yellen boosts interest rate hike speculation with a much-anticipated speech at the Jackson Hole symposium.
Canadian Dollar Forecast – Canadian Dollar Split on Weak Data and Crude Oil’s Bull Market
The price of USD/CAD seemed to breakdown this week far past what most expected. Multiple components led to the Canadian Dollars impressive performance against the US Dollar that hit a speed bump on Friday.
Chinese Yuan Forecast – Yuan Continues to Consolidate Ahead of G-20
This is the third week that the offshore Yuan (USD/CNH) held a tight range between 6.6220 and 6.6700; the onshore Yuan (USD/CNY) was in an even tighter range between 6.6220 and 6.6550.
Gold Forecast – Gold Prices Primed for Volatility- All Eyes on Jackson Hole
Gold prices were relatively flat this week with the precious metal up just 0.57% to trade at 1343 ahead of the New York close on Friday.
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