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  • The Citi Economic Surprise Index tracking the US just turned negative for the first time since June 2020 This means economists are now overestimating the health and vigor of the economy, opening the door to disappointment ahead This does note bode well for NFPs next week...
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Weekly Trading Forecast: China, ECB Decision and Dollar Stability to Test FX Market Volatility

Weekly Trading Forecast: China, ECB Decision and Dollar Stability to Test FX Market Volatility

The fundamental focus will shift temporarily from the Dollar over the coming week - just as trend pressure comes into view - with China's NPC meeting and the ECB rate decision drawing traders' anxiety.

US Dollar Forecast – Dollar Tumble Threatens Long-Term Trend Again, FOMC Too Far Away

The Dollar tumbled this past week as a tempered view for Fed rate hikes rendered the currency incapable of taking advantage of the improved sentiment across global markets.

Euro Forecast - Euro Unlikely to Stay Lower Unless ECB Meeting Yields Big Bazooka

Another swell in volatility is a near-certainty across the EUR-crosses with the European Central Bank’s meeting this Thursday. Without a surprise, the ECB seems destined to send the Euro on an early-December 2015 replay.

British Pound Forecast – GBP/USD Rebound at Risk as BoE Speaks on U.K. Referendum

After posting the first five-consecutive days of advances since June, GBP/USD stands at risk facing near-term headwinds should Bank of England (BoE) officials endorse a wait-and-see approach ahead of their next interest rate decision on March 17.

Japanese Yen Forecast - Japanese Yen Poised to Gain this week if Big Event Disappoints

A great week for the US S&P 500, Japanese Nikkei 225, and other global financial bellwethers pushed the inversely-correlated Japanese Yen lower against almost all G10 counterparts.

Australian Dollar Forecast – Australian Dollar Outlook Hinges on ECB Meeting, China News-Flow

The Australian Dollar will look to the impact of the ECB rate decision on risk appetite trends and news-flow from China’s NPC for fuel to extend the largest rally in four years.

New Zealand Dollar Forecast - RBNZ Will Provide Guidance on NZ Dollar’s Recent Flight

The New Zealand Dollar has out-performed every currency aside from its rival Australian Dollar over the last week.

Chinese Yuan Forecast - Yuan To Remain in Focus at the NPC Conference

The offshore Yuan rate (CNH) climbed over 260 pips against the US Dollar on Thursday and extended gains going into the Friday close.

Gold Forecast – All That Glitters is Gold

This title is a line taken from Shakespeare. He actually said ‘all that glisters is not gold,’ but ‘glisters’ was the word for ‘glitters’ in the 17th century, so the saying has held while the English language has evolved.

Weekly Trading Forecast: China, ECB Decision and Dollar Stability to Test FX Market Volatility

What are the Traits of Successful Traders? See what our studies have found to be the most common pitfalls of retail FXtraders.

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