News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Bullish
Oil - US Crude
Bullish
Wall Street
Bearish
Gold
Bullish
GBP/USD
Mixed
USD/JPY
Bearish
More View more
Real Time News
  • $EURUSD breakout stalled (so far) around the same spot that caught the feb top fib from the same study that caught the low in march (at the 38.2) https://t.co/ikWed0YfwE https://t.co/OfvmSW2V4S
  • The USD/CAD breakdown has stalled into lateral technical support at 1.2048/61 and the focus is on a reaction off this mark. Get your $USDCAD @MBForex here:https://t.co/LMTzDyI1df https://t.co/hD74PjjJHk
  • US Dollar Outlook: DXY Index Hammered as Treasury Yields Ebb -via @DailyFX Link to Full Analysis: https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/us_dollar_index/usd_trading_today/2021/05/18/us-dollar-outlook-dxy-index-hammered-as-treasury-yields-ebb.html $USD $DXY #Trading https://t.co/2zVfDWI5Y7
  • AUD/USD attempts to retrace the decline following the update to the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) as it bounces back from the 50-Day SMA (0.7715). Get your $AUDUSD market update from @DavidJSong here:https://t.co/EIQ7utBH9A https://t.co/RcWf6JgYX5
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Silver are long at 87.64%, while traders in EUR/USD are at opposite extremes with 70.33%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/EhQn4EqJYE
  • Commodities Update: As of 16:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Silver: 0.06% Gold: -0.03% Oil - US Crude: -1.48% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/ALjM4GEwOj
  • Forex Update: As of 16:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇨🇭CHF: 0.54% 🇪🇺EUR: 0.45% 🇳🇿NZD: 0.41% 🇯🇵JPY: 0.23% 🇦🇺AUD: 0.22% 🇨🇦CAD: -0.05% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/bgTy0ZEXoV
  • Some really great insight and compelling chart setups below. Strongly encourage taking the time to read through my colleague @JStanleyFX's latest take on #StockMarket cycles. https://t.co/erlf7M9z27
  • Tesla, ARKK, Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500: Varying Stages of the Cycle $TSLA $ARKK $NDX $SPX In order from strongest to weakest: 1) SPX 2) NDX 3) TSLA 4) ARK the leaders have become the laggards... https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/daily_briefing/session_briefing/daily_fundamentals/2021/05/18/Tesla-TSLA-Musk-ARKK-NDX-SPX-varying-stages-of-market-cycle.html
  • Please join @JStanleyFX at 13:00 EST/17:00 GMT for a webinar on trading price action. Register here: https://t.co/rFhWzz0pIy https://t.co/o75ju2BFfA
USD/JPY Fails to Break Sept. Range Ahead of Fed Minutes, BoJ Meeting

USD/JPY Fails to Break Sept. Range Ahead of Fed Minutes, BoJ Meeting

David Song, Strategist
USD/JPY Fails to Break Sept. Range Ahead of Fed Minutes, BoJ MeetingUSD/JPY Fails to Break Sept. Range Ahead of Fed Minutes, BoJ Meeting

Fundamental Forecast for Yen:Neutral

The range-bound price action in USD/JPY may unravel in the week ahead should the fundamental developments coming out of the U.S. economy dampen bets for a 2015 Fed rate hike, while the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is widely expected to retain a wait-and-see approach at the October 7 interest rate decision.

Even though the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) keeps the door open to raise the benchmark later this year, the data prints coming out of the world’s largest economy may continue to drag on interest rate expectations and sap demand for the greenback as the ISM Non-Manufacturing survey is expected to show a further slowdown in service-based activity. The ongoing slack in the real economy accompanied with the disinflation environment may push the ‘data dependent’ central bank to adopt a more dovish outlook for monetary policy, and the Fed Minutes may do little to shore up the greenback as Chair Janet Yellen remains in no rush to remove the zero-interest rate policy (ZIRP).

In contrast, market participants may continue to scale back their bearish outlook for the Japanese Yen as the BoJ is widely expected to retain its current policy, and the fresh commentary coming out central bank may sap speculation for a further expansion in the quantitative/qualitative easing program (QQE) as Governor Haruhiko Kuroda remains confident in achieving the 2% inflation target over the policy horizon. However, a material shift in central bank rhetoric may fuel speculation for additional monetary support at the October 30 interest rate decision as Japanese lawmakers look for a more accommodative policy stance, and comments foreshadowing a larger asset-purchase program may act as a key catalyst to spark a topside break in USD/JPY amid the deviating paths for monetary policy.

In turn, risk trends may heavily impact USD/JPY ahead of the key event risks next week as global investors treat the Japanese Yen as a ‘funding-currency,’ and the pair may threaten the range-bound price action carried over from September should we see a material shift in the policy outlook surrounding the Fed & BoJ.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES