News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Mixed
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Wall Street
Bearish
Gold
Mixed
GBP/USD
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
USD/JPY
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View more
Real Time News
  • Central banks often deem it necessary to intervene in the foreign exchange market to protect the value of their national currency. Learn how central bank intervention can impact your trading here: https://t.co/8G8mUX4so6 https://t.co/Z7TayeGRXB
  • 🇿🇦 Balance of Trade (JAN) Actual: ZAR11.83B Expected: ZAR15.2B Previous: ZAR32B https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-02-26
  • 🇮🇳 GDP Growth Rate YoY (Q4) Actual: 0.4% Expected: 0.5% Previous: -7.5% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-02-26
  • 🇲🇽 Balance of Trade (JAN) Actual: $-1.236B Previous: $6.262B https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-02-26
  • 🇧🇷 Unemployment Rate (DEC) Actual: 13.9% Expected: 13.9% Previous: 14.1% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-02-26
  • S&P 500 back down to support area (3805-10) https://t.co/VgJHDImfZY
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Silver are long at 91.38%, while traders in GBP/JPY are at opposite extremes with 70.18%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/XtCpP1uEI6
  • Heads Up:🇿🇦 Balance of Trade (JAN) due at 12:00 GMT (15min) Expected: ZAR15.2B Previous: ZAR 32B https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-02-26
  • Heads Up:🇲🇽 Balance of Trade (JAN) due at 12:00 GMT (15min) Previous: $6.262B https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-02-26
  • Heads Up:🇮🇳 GDP Growth Rate YoY (Q4) due at 12:00 GMT (15min) Expected: 0.5% Previous: -7.5% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-02-26
GBP: Remain Bullish But Don't Chase Trades Too Hard

GBP: Remain Bullish But Don't Chase Trades Too Hard

Nick Cawley, Strategist
GBP: Remain Bullish But Don't Chase Trades Too Hard

Talking Points:

  • UK economic data has beaten expectations on the upside but Brexit worries remain.
  • The current bout of US dollar weakness helps GBP/USD to a three year high.
  • Stay disciplined and focus on entry points.

Fundamental Forecast for GBP: Bullish

We remain fundamentally positive on GBP - as we have for the past couple of weeks - and look for further gains ahead, although the velocity of movement may slow down with Sterling currently sitting at relatively lofty levels. The latest set of data releases have seen inflation inched down – from 3.1% to 3% - while average UK wage growth nudged a touch higher - to 2.4% from 2.3%. While UK real wages remain negative, any narrowing of the inflation/wages gap will be welcome, especially by the weak retail sector. In addition the latest quarterly GDP release showed the UK economy expanding by an above expectation 0.5%, driven by a strong showing from the dominant services sector.

The positive economic skyline is still however clouded by the ongoing Brexit negotiations with both sides readying themselves for formal trade talks in late March.Currently both sides have reined back their rhetoric, realizing that post-Brexit trade arrangements are mutually beneficial moving forward.

Looking at GBP/USD, the recent rally has been fueled by both currencies with a strong British Pound and a weak US dollar combining to send the pair back to highs last seen in June 2016. The US dollar was weakened on renewed fears over trade wars – the US recently hit imported solar panels and washing machines with tariffs – while US President Trump recently spoke again about ‘America First’ at the World Economic Forum in Davos.

GBP/USD recently touched 1.43500 and is likely to trade back to, and above, this level in the near future. While positive tailwinds remain we would advise not to go chasing set ups, preferring instead to look at any setbacks as an opportunity to enter a trade. The January 25 low of 1.40850 is likely to hold, although a small gap is open down to 1.40500 on the four hour chart, and this area should present Sterling bulls with a reasonable point of entry, all else being equal. The stochastic indicator is also still positive and pointing higher.

GBP/USD Price Chart Four Hour Timeframe (December, 2017 – January26, 2018)

GBP: Remain Bullish But Don't Chase Trades Too Hard

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES