We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Mixed
GBP/USD
Bearish
USD/JPY
Bullish
Gold
Bullish
Oil - US Crude
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Bitcoin
Mixed
More View more
Real Time News
  • Natural Gas trading is popular among traders due to its volatility. How can you trade this? Find out here: https://t.co/GSzSS9fn7Z https://t.co/bl0lp9NtkQ
  • #EURUSD pivot points (daily) – S3: 1.0991, S2: 1.1065, S1: 1.1093, R1: 1.1167, R2: 1.1214, R3: 1.1288- https://www.dailyfx.com/pivot-points?ref=SubNav?utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=DFXGeneric&utm_campaign=twr
  • Hello there, traders! Themes for this week's webinar: - US-China #tradewar - #HongKongProstests: Carrie Lam's visit to Beijing - #UKElections2019 recap + outlook - Government shutdown in 2020? - Update on #RCEP - CRUCIAL rate decision this week⬇️ https://www.dailyfx.com/webinars/146770987
  • With increasing volatility in weather patterns, how might storms, hurricanes, and floods rattle the supply chain for petroleum-based products and impact crude oil prices? Get your market update from @ZabelinDimitri here:https://t.co/O4dgBl47fq https://t.co/eMb7iCfdqS
  • Join analyst @DavidJSong at 5:30 PM ET/10:30 PM GMT for your weekly update on key news trading events. Register here: https://t.co/gBlrRpCc55 https://t.co/1rVzPr6gx4
  • See the DailyFX Fundamental and Technical forecasts for the week ahead on the major currencies, indices and commodities here: https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/forecast/weekly/title/2019/12/15/Dow-Pound-and-Aussie-Dollar-Test-Post-Trade-War-Election-Breakouts.html
  • The US-China agreement brings this scene from camp cinema history to mind: https://t.co/WsfoGMZbw1 via @GIPHY https://t.co/h045efj8Em
  • What is the ascending triangle and how can you trade it? Find out here: https://t.co/SyL29jQflv https://t.co/F8415DaNGE
  • The politics of the US and UK may be starkly divided but their grip on the vast, $6.6 trillion global foreign exchange trade seems as tight as ever. Get your market update from @DavidCottleFX here:https://t.co/xTKHOvrIqg https://t.co/z7ogzy00dy
  • What are the Market cycles? How are #currencies impacted in these cycles? How can these cycles impact #forextrading patterns? Find out here: https://t.co/ckr2fUOWqW https://t.co/g7iT8bpi7f
British Pound at Risk of Declines Given Political Uncertainty

British Pound at Risk of Declines Given Political Uncertainty

2015-04-03 22:18:00
David Rodriguez, Head of Business Development
Share:
British Pound at Risk of Declines Given Political Uncertainty

Fundamental Forecast for British Pound: Bearish

The British Pound finished the week almost exactly where it began, first falling versus the US Dollar until a sharp USD sell-off sent the GBP/USD through key levels. A relatively quiet week ahead may produce much of the same absent a surprise from a Bank of England policy meeting.

Traders look to an upcoming Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee meeting for any surprises, but low FX volatility prices suggest few expect officials will make changes to policy or release a post-meeting statement. Economic releases will be limited to UK Markit PMI figures, Trade Balance data, and Industrial Production growth reports. It would take a material surprises out of any of these reports to force a meaningful reaction across GBP pairs.

Markets remain indecisive as we’re now just a month away from the UK General Election, and current polling shows no single party is likely to take an overall majority following the May 7 vote. In effect, the United Kingdom could remain without an effective government for six weeks. The British Pound is likely to suffer amidst such uncertainty.

Derivatives show that FX options traders are paying a substantial premium for bets on/hedges against GBP/USD weakness in two months’ time—the exact timeframe for the post-election uncertainty. And indeed, risks seem weighed to the downside for the British Pound through the foreseeable future. A recent US Dollar sell-off has kept the GBP/USD above key support, but the UK currency may continue to underperform against broader G10 counterparts.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.