News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
GBP/USD
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View more
Real Time News
  • Last week’s march higher in EUR/USD may well extend further after Friday’s Eurozone economic statistics that will likely turn the ECB more hawkish on monetary policy. Get your weekly Euro forecast from @MartinSEssex here: https://t.co/EWrJy5LfOF https://t.co/NQj5xCdw9b
  • The Consumer Price Index, better known by the acronym CPI, is an important economic indicator released on a regular basis by major economies to give a timely glimpse into current growth and inflation levels. Learn how to better understand CPI here: https://t.co/nAa0fHHGbZ https://t.co/uDeIMr1Ks4
  • A currency carry trade involves borrowing a low-yielding currency in order to buy a higher yielding currency in an attempt to profit from the interest rate differential. Find out if the carry trade suits your trading style here: https://t.co/7t4BzmLg8w https://t.co/srqRhfdKUd
  • Cable is pulling off after a strong run; near-term weakness may be the theme before trying to rally again. Get your weekly GBP technical forecast from @PaulRobinsonFX here: https://t.co/030gXzxlEc https://t.co/ux7W6OcBOm
  • Japanese candlesticks are a popular charting technique used by many traders, and the shooting star candle is no exception. Learn about the shooting star candlestick and how to trade it here: https://t.co/mfwJ0sZLTs https://t.co/FPKAoLQuuI
  • Do you know how to properly Identify a double top formation? Double tops can enhance technical analysis when trading both forex or stocks, making the pattern highly versatile in nature. Learn more about the double top formation here: https://t.co/t9Flsqcxo9 https://t.co/2L5DGk7cxl
  • Dealing with the fear of missing out – or FOMO – is a highly valuable skill for traders. Not only can FOMO have a negative emotional impact, it can cloud judgment and overshadow logic. Learn how you can control FOMO in your trading here: https://t.co/lgDf5cVYOn https://t.co/zRBB1hmhJm
  • USD/CAD has bounced off a key support area on Friday and could potentially charge higher in the coming week as risk-aversion over coronavirus fears has started to dominate market moves. Get your weekly CAD technical forecast from @DColmanFX here: https://t.co/bySyBXTAdr https://t.co/y6UqD0quGN
  • The Federal Reserve System (the Fed) was founded in 1913 by the United States Congress. The Fed’s actions and policies have a major impact on currency value, affecting many trades involving the US Dollar. Learn more about the Fed here: https://t.co/ADSC4sIHrP https://t.co/sPcCTQfaRd
  • The US Dollar slipped last week after the Federal Reserve calmed taper timeline talks. Friday’s non-farm payrolls figure may rekindle upside USD bets if it impressive. Get your weekly USD forecast from @FxWestwater here: https://t.co/4KDanAA0Q1 https://t.co/ZZWpIZlZBo
British Pound Worst Performer Ahead of Bank of England Decision

British Pound Worst Performer Ahead of Bank of England Decision

David Rodriguez, Head of Product
British_Pound_Worst_Performer_Ahead_of_Bank_of_England_Decision_body_Picture_1.png, British Pound Worst Performer Ahead of Bank of England Decision

Fundamental Forecast for British Pound: Bearish

The British Pound tumbled near year-to-date lows and took the dubious honor of worst-performing major currency on the week, falling almost four percent against the surging Japanese Yen. Disappointing UK PMI Manufacturing survey numbers capped a difficult week for the British Pound, and indeed the stage is set for further declines into an important week ahead.

The first week of a new month quite often sets the pace through the end of the calendar, and a highly-anticipated Bank of England rate announcement suggests that much will depend on the central bank through June. Overnight Index Swaps show interest rate traders widely expect the BOE to leave rates and Asset Purchase Programme targets unchanged. Yet recent disappointments in economic data will leave focus on attached rhetoric and especially the final vote tally on the majority decision.

The British Pound even slipped against the downtrodden Euro as investors seemingly question the safety of the UK currency in the face of clear Euro Zone fiscal and political crises. Symptoms of investor panic were clear as Bloomberg quotes showed German 3 and 6-month bond yields turning negative as Spanish government bond yields surged. In recent months we’ve seen the EURGBP trade with a strongly negative correlation to periphery bond yields. The fact that the Euro/British Pound exchange rate failed to hit fresh lows is perhaps telling.

The British Pound previously appreciated as the UK seemed insulated from Euro Zone crises, but a continued decoupling of the EURGBP and periphery bonds may concern to GBP bulls. An important deterioration in domestic economic outlook likewise pushed UK bond yields to fresh record lows—sinking it against the especially yield-sensitive Japanese Yen.

Thus key British Pound crosses leave the Sterling lower ahead of a potentially pivotal week. Can the first full week of June produce a turnaround? Time will tell, and as our forex seasonality studies suggest, it could very well set the stage for price action through the end of the month. - DR

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES