News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Wall Street
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
GBP/USD
Bullish
USD/JPY
Mixed
More View more
Real Time News
  • USD/JPY and GBP/JPY may reverse lower in the near-term as both exchange rates fail to breach key resistance. CAD/JPY rates eyeing a retest of its post-crisis high. Get your market update from @DanielGMoss here:https://t.co/NptWy89cTa https://t.co/PYrMMwaCXg
  • Both $AUDUSD and $NZDUSD are slipping in early Tuesday APAC trade following dovish remarks from the #RBA ... https://t.co/nvOjnM8z8h ...and #RBNZ respectively: https://t.co/tDlVxzO68h https://t.co/w3y9zDlz6i
  • RBA's Kent: Notes still room to compress short-term rates -BBG $AUDUSD #RBA
  • Read your daily election update⬇️ https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/daily_briefing/daily_pieces/asia_am_briefing/2020/10/19/AUDUSD-Downtrend-to-Accelerate-Election-Betting-Odds-Defying-Polls.html
  • - Election polls show Biden ahead of Trump, but betting odds are show a slightly different narrative - Third #PresidentialDebate2020: time, location and topics - #AUDUSD downtrend may accelerate as area between descending resistance and support narrows
  • RBA Assistant Governor Christopher Kent: Balance sheet metrics give useful insight to policy stance, more complex to assess policy stance than in past -BBG $AUDUSD
  • Poll: What market has the greatest potential for volatility should the the US government finally compromise on stimulus - or definitively pull hope on it for the foreseeable future (though I believe that is a very low probability)
  • RBNZ's Orr: Prefer to deal with more inflation than battle deflation -BBG $NZDUSD
  • RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr: RBNZ has plenty of room left in QE program, will update on developments of policy tools in November -BBG $NZDUSD
  • The US Dollar faces a range of mixed technical signals against ASEAN currencies after some gains and losses. What is the road ahead for USD/PHP, USD/SGD, USD/MYR and USD/PHP? Find out from @ddubrovskyFX here:https://t.co/Sa9rXakHtM https://t.co/5jf4k5fb9Z
Gold Hindered by Dollar Rebound

Gold Hindered by Dollar Rebound

2017-04-01 03:24:00
Oliver Morrison, Analyst
Share:
Gold Hindered by Dollar Rebound

Fundamental Forecast for Gold: Bearish

  • Prime Minister May's official letter to start the Brexit proceedings haven't added to the Pound's troubles
  • Moving forward, focus remains on the UK's separation through negotiation progress and friction
  • Top scheduled event risk ahead for the Sterling includes BoE Governor's speech, UK trade, PMIs

Gold is suffering as a strong US GDP data rekindles Fed rate hike speculation. Last week, gold prices rallied for a second consecutive week with the metal up more than 1.56% to amid continued weakness in the Greenback, owing to increasing hesitancy over the so-called ‘Trump trade’ -- the DXY was down 0.70% in the week, leaving gold virtually unchanged for the month of March. It’s also been a decent three months for gold prices, which are up over 7% on the quarter: that’s more than the gains enjoyed by the Dow and S&P500 over the same period.

But gold prices suffered the largest drop in a month yesterday as the US Dollar rose from its four-month lows alongside Treasury bond yields, sapping demand for anti-fiat and non-interest-bearing assets. The priced-in Fed rate hike outlook firmed, with the year-end level for the target Fed Funds rate implied in futures prices rising by the most in two weeks.

The move followed an unexpectedly large upside revision on fourth-quarter US GDP figures. The US economy grew by 2.1% year-on-year in the fourth quarter of 2016, slightly higher than 2.0% expected by analysts.

The positive economic data likely means the Fed remains on course to raise interest rates at least twice this year, and probably more, providing ongoing support for the Dollar. It also follows hawkish comments regarding the US interest rate policy from several Fed members earlier in the week.

This is all bad news for gold prices, although support has been seen at the $1,240 level. However, political risks may change that narrative next week, as Donald Trump meets his Chinese counterpart President Xi Jin Ping at his Mar-a-Lago retreat in Florida. Trump says this highly anticipated meeting "will be a very difficult one." If it drives risk aversion in the markets, then gold could enjoy some more upside potential.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES