News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Bullish
Oil - US Crude
Bearish
Wall Street
Mixed
Gold
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
GBP/USD
Bullish
USD/JPY
Bearish
More View more
Real Time News
  • 🇫🇷 Consumer Confidence (JAN) Actual: 92 Expected: 94 Previous: 95 https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-01-27
  • US Dollar Outlook: DXY Forms Head and Shoulders Pattern Ahead of FOMC - https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/daily_briefing/session_briefing/euro_open/2021/01/27/US-Dollar-Outlook-DXY-Forms-Head-and-Shoulders-Pattern-Ahead-of-FOMC.html?CHID=9&QPID=917708&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Moss&utm_campaign=twr $USD $DXY #USDollar #FOMC https://t.co/rt603Ix66D
  • Heads Up:🇫🇷 Consumer Confidence (JAN) due at 07:45 GMT (15min) Expected: 94 Previous: 95 https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-01-27
  • Euro’s forecast this quarter? Get your free forecast here: https://t.co/kpBYVz31Bd #DailyFXGuides https://t.co/NWs5Lyiyyt
  • 🇩🇪 GfK Consumer Confidence (FEB) Actual: -15.6 Expected: -7.9 Previous: -7.5 https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-01-27
  • 🇩🇪 GfK Consumer Confidence (FEB) Actual: -15.6 Expected: -7.9 Previous: -7.3 https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-01-27
  • The US unemployment rate stood at 6.77% in Dec, which marks a long way to return to the pre-Covid level of 3.8%. The latest core PCE was at 1.4%, showing little sign of inflation overheating. This suggests that conditions for the Fed to consider tapering are far from met. #FOMC https://t.co/vtnC2V1Q2P
  • Heads Up:🇩🇪 GfK Consumer Confidence (FEB) due at 07:00 GMT (15min) Expected: -7.9 Previous: -7.3 https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-01-27
  • Human error in the forex market is common and often leads to familiar trading mistakes. These trading mistakes crop up particularly with novice traders on a regular basis. Learn about the top ten trading mistakes and how you can avoid them here: https://t.co/i8E2AXtzF3 https://t.co/npjFIwjcBL
  • Outside of GameStop and other activist driven stocks, risk markets seem to be struggling for direction. Maybe the Dow and EURUSD will draw direction from the growth forecasts, the FOMC rate decision and key earnings (like TSLA and AAPL). My analysis: https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/video/daily_news_report/2021/01/27/Dow-and-Dollar-Steel-for-FOMC-Top-Earnings-and-Growth-Fight-Against-Speculative-Control.html?ref-author=Kicklighter&QPID=917719&CHID=9 https://t.co/SqdH9JM6Pu
Gold Boosted by Softer Fed Stance- Resistance at 1130

Gold Boosted by Softer Fed Stance- Resistance at 1130

Michael Boutros, Strategist
Gold Boosted by Softer Fed Stance- Resistance at 1130Gold Boosted by Softer Fed Stance- Resistance at 1130

Fundamental Forecast for Gold:Neutral

Gold prices are higher this week with the precious metal rallying nearly 1.8% to trade at 1117 ahead of the New York close on Friday. The move comes amid continued volatility in broader risk markets with the FOMC rate decision fueling speculation that the central bank will likely have to delay subsequent rate hikes. Although the dollar was weaker for the majority of the session, a late-week rally took the Dow Jones FXCM U.S. Dollar Index (Ticker: USDOLLAR) to fresh highs. Ongoing technical divergence however continues to suggest the greenback remains vulnerable- with bullion standing to gain from dollar softness.

The Federal Reserve held interest rates this week as expected with the accompanying commentary citing a slightly softer tone with regards to the assessment of the economy and the probable timing of future rate hikes. FOMC officials noted that they were, "closely monitoring global economic and financial developments and is assessing their implications for the labor market and inflation, and for the balance of risks to the outlook." The commentary suggests that indeed the committee may have gotten a tad ahead of itself when they cited expectations for 4 rate hikes this year. Nevertheless, as the Fed attempts to buy more time gold may continue to regain some of its lost luster as traders look to the relative safety of the yellow metal amid the ongoing turmoil & volatility in broader equity markets.

Looking ahead to next week, traders will be eyeing a loaded economic docket for US data with Personal Income/Spending, ISM Manufacturing, Factory Orders, Durable Goods Orders and the highly anticipated Non-Farm Payroll report on tap. On the back of last week’ FOMC rate decision, a weaker print on US data could kick-out interest rate expectations even further- a positive for gold prices.

Gold price-action has remained constructive since the start of the year with the rally testing resistance at the upper median-line parallel extending off the October high this week before pulling back on Thursday. Heading into next week the immediate risk is for a move lower, before mounting the next offensive with confluence support seen lower at 1096/98 where the July low-week / low-day closes converge on slope support extending off the December lows. We’ll reserve this level as our bullish invalidation with a break below targeting 1088 & the 61.8% retracement of the advance at 1078. Bottom line: we’ll be looking for a pullback next week to offer favorable long entries with a breach higher targeting the 200-day moving average at 1131 & the 61.8% retracement of the decline off the October high at 1136.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES