News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
Oil - US Crude
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View more
Real Time News
  • Entry orders are a valuable tool in forex trading. Traders can strategize to come up with a great trading plan, but if they can’t execute that plan effectively, all their hard work might as well be thrown out. Learn how to place entry orders here: https://t.co/1mnOXUuBpt https://t.co/8PhqKCpyzf
  • Indices Update: As of 20:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Wall Street: 0.03% France 40: 0.03% US 500: 0.02% FTSE 100: -0.06% Germany 30: -0.09% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/Mkxtacawl4
  • AUD declined into the weekend, wiping out earlier gains against USD #IronOre tumbled this week, with futures on #SGX down about 15%! -> 3-month low China is further cracking down on steel output to ebb pollution Iron ore is a key AU export to China, posing a risk #AUD $AUDUSD https://t.co/NSDM7Ln5sA
  • Further your forex knowledge and gain informed analyses from industry leaders with our free guides, available today. Download the Q3 guide:https://t.co/7G7pWntiyY https://t.co/gAlFxO9Fl4
  • Commodities Update: As of 18:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Oil - US Crude: -0.11% Silver: -0.53% Gold: -0.95% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/qTX1rsmxSM
  • Mexico’s second quarter GDP grows 1.5% q/q and 19.7% y/y, slightly below market expectations. Get your $USDMXN market update from @DColmanFX here:https://t.co/s3i0GDWXpr https://t.co/CD7aQhOG19
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Silver are long at 92.66%, while traders in France 40 are at opposite extremes with 71.50%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/rfrl2bsz9S
  • A strong Covid-19 vaccine program reduces risks stemming from the Delta variant. BoE optimism on economic recovery grows. Get your weekly GBP forecast from @JMcQueenFX here: https://t.co/tFxeTpzOQx https://t.co/flH1fOMBin
  • Indices Update: As of 18:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: France 40: 0.02% Germany 30: -0.03% FTSE 100: -0.04% Wall Street: -0.38% US 500: -0.42% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/tajJT2a5tH
  • NY Fed accepts $1.039 trillion in reverse repo operations $USD $DXY
Gold Outlook Heavy on Improving Growth Prospects- 1693 Key Resistance

Gold Outlook Heavy on Improving Growth Prospects- 1693 Key Resistance

Research, Research Team
Gold_Outlook_Heavy_on_Improving_Growth_Prospects-_1693_Key_Resistance_body_Picture_1.png, Gold Outlook Heavy on Improving Growth Prospects- 1693 Key Resistance

Gold Outlook Heavy on Improving Growth Prospects- 1693 Key Resistance

Fundamental Forecast for Gold: Bearish

Gold is virtually flat this week with the precious metal posting a fractional advance to trade at $1668 at the close of trade in New York on Friday. Prices have been largely range bound since the open of February trade with risk in the near-term weighted to the downside on improving growth prospects for the US economy and relatively stable inflation expectations. Broader risk appetite remained well supported ahead of the weekend after stronger than expected trade balance data out of China and the US saw major equity indices close just off the weekly highs leaving the yellow metal under pressure amid a broader rebound in the greenback.

The outlook for monetary policy has been a main driver of gold prices as improving economic data and central bank rhetoric continue to suggest that the domestic recovery is gathering pace. Indeed this week we did hear from Chicago Fed President Charles Evans, a known dove, that the central bank may look to 'turn off' its easing cycle prior to achieving a 7% unemployment threshold as discouraged workers return to the labor force and the outlook for growth and inflation picks up. Earlier in the week FOMC voting member Elizabeth Duke also noted that she remained 'optimistic' on the US economy amid the resilience in private sector consumption and the budding recovery in the housing market. As the central bank's dovish tone continues to soften, gold prices may see limited upside as inflation concerns abate on expectations the Fed may look end QE operations later in 2013.

Looking ahead to next week, traders will be closely eying retail sales, consumer confidence and industrial production data as investors attempt to ascertain the health of the US consumer and its impact on Fed policy. With gold prices holding a tight range in February trade, an inevitable break-out of this range is likely over the next week as the precious metal continues to hold just above the 200-day moving average at $1663.

From a technical standpoint, gold has continued to trade within the confines of a well-defined descending channel formation dating back to the October highs with critical resistance seen holding at the long-term 61.8% Fibonacci extension taken from the December 2011 and May 2012 lows at $1693.So long as this level is respected, gold remains at risk for further declines with a break below trendline support dating back to the June 28th low (currently around $1660) exposing key support at the 61.8% retracement taken from the rally off the 2011 low (lowest level of the move off the record high) at $1626. This level remains paramount for the yellow metal and if compromised, opens up the floor to declines into the $1585 region. Note that daily RSI has continued to hold below the 50-threshold with a move below 40 reaffirming the downtrend off the October highs. -MB

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES