News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.



Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events


Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

Free Trading Guides
Please try again
Oil - US Crude
Wall Street
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View more
Real Time News
  • $GBPUSD corrects from stretched valuations, however, positioning clear is likely to entice dip-buyers. Get your market update from @JMcQueenFX here:
  • Did you know a Doji candlestick signals market indecision and the potential for a change in direction. What are the top five types of Doji candlesticks? Find out
  • GDP (Gross Domestic Product) economic data is deemed highly significant in the forex market. GDP figures are used as an indicator by fundamentalists to gauge the overall health and potential growth of a country. Learn use GDP data to your advantage here:
  • There’s a strong correlation between interest rates and forex trading. Forex is ruled by many variables, but the interest rate of the currency is the fundamental factor that prevails above them all. Learn how interest rates impact currency markets here:
  • Time-cycle analysis suggests that the Japanese Yen could slide significantly lower against its major counterparts. Key levels for AUD/JPY, EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY. Get your market update from @DanielGMoss here:
  • The Australian Dollar looks poised to outperform the haven-associated US Dollar and Japanese Yen. However, it may lose ground to the New Zealand Dollar. Key levels for AUD/USD, AUD/JPY and AUD/NZD. Get your market update from @DanielGMoss here:
  • Has anyone explained the risk of inflation on the markets in terms of tendies?
  • The US Dollar is trying to break higher versus ASEAN currencies. The Singapore Dollar, Philippine Peso, Thai Baht and Indonesian Rupiah are under pressure. Will follow-through last? Get your market update from @ddubrovskyFX here:
  • The commodity-sensitive Canadian Dollar may continue outperforming its major counterparts in the coming weeks. USD/CAD, CAD/CHF, CAD/JPY and EUR/CAD key levels to watch. Get your $USDCAD market update from @DanielGMoss here:
  • We just closed out the heaviest week of volume for the $SPY (US equities) since June and $TLT (Treasuries) since March 16
Australian Dollar Outlook Bearish on Concerns of Second Covid-19 Outbreak

Australian Dollar Outlook Bearish on Concerns of Second Covid-19 Outbreak

Dimitri Zabelin, Analyst
Australian Dollar AUDUSD Price Chart

Source: IG Charts


  • Australian Dollar selling pressure could swell amid fears of second wave of Covid-19
  • Higher rates of infection in Beijing could send a chilling wind to Australian exporters
  • Intensifying China-Australia political tensions could exacerbate a selloff in the AUD

Second Wave of Covid-19 May Dash Hopes of Speedy Recovery

The Australian Dollar may face heightened liquidation pressure if concerns about a second wave of coronavirus cases compels government officials to reinstitute or extend growth-hampering lockdown policies. With the United States as the newest epicenter – though Brazil has been catching up – a slower-than-planned reopening could undermine economic activity in the world’s largest economy.

Coronavirus Cases Globally

COVID-19 map

Source: Johns Hopkins

Consequently, a chilling effect may subsequently ripple out and dampen appetite for cycle-sensitive currencies like AUD. Its commodity-linked nature makes its particularly vulnerable to oscillations in global sentiment, particularly during a time of almost-unprecedented uncertainty. However, even more worrisome are coronavirus-related trends sprouting in China: Australia’s largest trading partner.

Beijing Outbreak Rattling Market Confidence

In response to a flare-up of coronavirus cases in Beijing, government officials have increased restrictions on domestic travel to avoid having the virus spread to other cities and provinces. Deputy secretary-general of the Beijing municipal governmentChen Bei said both inbound and outbound travelers will be required to undergo several tests to ensure the safety of local residents.

While the first outbreak occurred at a wet market in Wuhan, officials have traced the second outbreak to Xinfadi, a wholesale food centre southwest of Beijing. Already reports are showing more infections in the area surrounding Xinfadi. This lends credence to the notion that the prospect of another shutdown – while not as severe as the first – may be implemented again and could further dampen regional growth prospects.

Australia-China Tension: Another Headwind

For the past few months, Australia-China relations have been deteriorating, but the additional strain from the Covid-19 outbreak has added another layer to growing intra-regional hostilities. Beijing was angered after Australian officials pushed for an international investigation into the origins of the coronavirus pandemic. A particular sore point was a call for greater transparency in how the government handled the initial outbreak.

In response, Chinese officials announced a ban on the importation of meat from four key slaughterhouses and then went on to impose tariffs on other products, like barley. Additionally, the China's ambassador to Canberra, the Cheng Jingye, threatened a boycott of tourists and students from visiting Australia. The Asian giant is Australia’s largest trading partner, so naturally a weaker trade relationship there could hurt AUD.

Australian Dollar Recovery Topping Off?

Australian Dollar

Source: Bloomberg

Since bottoming out in March, the Australian Dollar – analyzing it through the use of Bloomberg’s Correlation-Weighted Currency Index – has recovered against a broad basket of other currencies. However, recent trends across a wide range of FX indicate that AUD may fall. Given the fundamental circumstances, a bearish outlook in these uncertain times is not outlandish to possess.

--- Written by Dimitri Zabelin, Currency Analyst for

To contact Dimitri, use the comments section below or @ZabelinDimitrion Twitter

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.