News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Bearish
Oil - US Crude
Bullish
Wall Street
Bearish
Gold
Bearish
GBP/USD
Bearish
USD/JPY
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View more
Real Time News
  • *Schedule Reminder: Weekly Strategy Webinar on Monday at 8:30am EST (12:30GMT) with DailyFX - https://t.co/lxd5fZnn4H Mid-Week Market Update on Wednesday at 9:30am EST (13:30GMT) with IG - https://t.co/8SFBJxNZrA
  • Japanese candlesticks are a popular charting technique used by many traders, and the shooting star candle is no exception. Learn about the shooting star candlestick and how to trade it here: https://t.co/mfwJ0sZLTs https://t.co/kHnKrEkI2r
  • 8 out of 11 S&P 500 sectors ended higher, with 69.5% of the index’s constituents closing in the green. Financials (+0.61%) and information technology (+0.56%) outperformed, while healthcare (-0.73%) and real estate (-0.59%) trailed behind. https://t.co/MiGE1XFknG
  • Recessions can devastate the economy and disrupt the fortunes of individuals, businesses, and investors. But economic decline in the business cycle is inevitable, and your trading can be defined by how you respond to crisis. learn how to prepare here: https://t.co/e4CnobJCss https://t.co/3US2UaRckO
  • What is your forex trading style? Take the quiz and find out: https://t.co/YY3ePTpzSI https://t.co/z9XcfuxLOx
  • The ISM manufacturing index plays an important role in forex trading, with ISM data influencing currency prices globally. Find out about the recent history of ISM data, how to track it, and how to trade its release here: https://t.co/MZtBh88nOv https://t.co/hQgZB9T73q
  • The continuity seen across these volatility cycles is a good thing. Historical precedence offer a blueprint for identifying conditions supportive for a vol-event to occur, and how they may unfold. Deepen your knowledge of historical volatility here: https://t.co/vg7w10CKUR https://t.co/9JVh6BsWa2
  • There’s a strong correlation between interest rates and forex trading. Forex is ruled by many variables, but the interest rate of the currency is the fundamental factor that prevails above them all. Learn how interest rates impact currency markets here: https://t.co/J0EPMD2Cfi https://t.co/ZDuee58Abe
  • Many people are attracted to forex trading due to the amount of leverage that brokers provide. Leverage allows traders to gain more exposure in financial markets than what they are required to pay for. Learn about FX leverage here: https://t.co/BdgFmkRxVw https://t.co/niJL2W2yXV
  • GDP (Gross Domestic Product) economic data is deemed highly significant in the forex market. GDP figures are used as an indicator by fundamentalists to gauge the overall health and potential growth of a country. Learn use GDP data to your advantage here: https://t.co/Yl9vM7kO6a https://t.co/0rNbbrd58e
Australian Dollar Aims to Continue Rebound But Greece Still a Risk

Australian Dollar Aims to Continue Rebound But Greece Still a Risk

Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC
Australian Dollar Aims to Continue Rebound But Greece Still a Risk

Fundamental Forecast for the Australian Dollar: Neutral

  • Australian Dollar Likely to Continue Higher on Improved Policy Outlook
  • Risk Aversion Threat Remains if Eurogroup Fails on Greek Funding Deal
  • Identify Key Turning Points for the Australian Dollar with DailyFX SSI

The Australian Dollar looks poised to continue the recovery launched in early April as markets adjust to a newly forgiving monetary policy outlook. The currency shot higher in the wake of last week’s monetary policy announcement despite a widely anticipated 25bps interest rate cut as an upbeat statement accompanying the announcement lowered the probability of further easing on the horizon.

RBA Governor Glenn Stevens and company specifically cited “improved trends in household demand over the past six months and stronger growth in employment”. The decision to cut was chalked up to the forgiving inflation outlook, which the central bank said “provided the opportunity…to reinforce recent encouraging trends”.The Aussie rose alongside front-end bond yields, speaking to the announcement’s supportive impact on policy bets.

As it stands, priced-in policy expectations suggest investors now expect no further easing over the coming 12 months, making for the most supportive one-year forecast since early December 2014. The Australian economic calendar is relatively quiet in the week ahead, suggesting follow-through will have relatively few hurdles on the domestic front.

A significantly diminished correlation between the Aussie and global stock prices hints the risk from standard-issue sentiment-derived crosswinds is likewise limited. With that said, cross-asset linkages can snap back in a hurry in the event of a major market dislocation. Next week’s Eurogroup meeting carries just such risk. The sit-down represents a last-ditch effort to secure funding for Greece before a cash crunch pushes the country toward default and a possible exit from the Euro area. Failure to reach an accord may trigger dramatic risk aversion, sinking the Aussie along with the spectrum of higher-yielding FX instruments.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES