Hang Seng Index Higher as Risk Turns On But AUD/USD Can’t Catch A Bid. Where To From Here?
Hang Seng Index, Nikkei 225, WTI Crude Oil, AUD/USD - Talking Points
- The Hang Seng and Nikkei 225 indices ended higher on regional optimism
- Crude oil added to risk on sentiment due to supply concerns from the US
- The Australian Dollar languished as risk turned on. Will AUD/USD break?
Asian equities defied the US lead and moved higher on optimistic news that US President Biden and China President Xi Jinping had talked on the phone for 90 minutes. White House officials and Chinese state media both reported that the talks were essentially a good start, but nothing had been agreed to. They both expressed a desire to have ongoing talks to air grievances and find common ground. They last spoke in February.
Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index (HSI) andJapan’s Nikkei 225 both had stand-out sessions as risk assets generally moved higher. Chinese tech stocks also had a strong day after local regulators provided some clarity around rule changes for gaming companies. They were not as severe as anticipated.
AUD/JPY and NZD/JPY, considered risk appetite bellwethers, found firmer footing as sentiment improved throughout the day. The move only retraced yesterdays losses and further positive news will be needed to lift both crosses above recent highs. AUD/USD was unable to get traction as there are two large option expiries today at 0.7350 and 0.7400 that kept the currency trapped in the range.
Crude oil slipped lower in the US but had a positive day in Asia as supply constraints outweighed China’s announcement of strategic reserve sales. The impact of hurricane Ida on offshore facilities may be worse than anticipated and could potentially reduce overall output. The higher oil price helped EUR/NOK slide lower.
Looking ahead, there is Canadian jobs data and US PPI due out later today.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis
AUD/USD has pulled back from recent highs and has consolidated going into the end of the week. On the topside there is potential trend line resistance at 0.7460, and then a possible barrier at the recent high of 0.7478.
On the downside the 21-day simple moving average (SMA) lies at 0.7310 and the break-up pivot point at 0.7290 may provide some support ahead of the August low of 0.7106.
--- Written by Daniel McCarthy, Strategist for DailyFX.com
To contact Daniel, use the comments section below or @DanMcCathyFX on Twitter
DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.