News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
More View more
Real Time News
  • Becoming a forex trader means living and breathing the excitement, risk and reward of trading in the biggest and most liquid market in the world. Do you have what it takes? Read here to discover the qualities and processes it takes to build consistency: https://t.co/EfWEACyvdZ https://t.co/6VjW5FEiQW
  • Global stocks bounce back from recent pullback as key resistance levels lie ahead. Get your weekly equities forecast from @HathornSabin here: https://t.co/wXSWo1JygD https://t.co/vWVaSEQTXT
  • Do you know how to properly Identify a double top formation? Double tops can enhance technical analysis when trading both forex or stocks, making the pattern highly versatile in nature. Learn more about the double top formation here: https://t.co/t9FlspUVZz https://t.co/9kfBu04auM
  • Dealing with the fear of missing out – or FOMO – is a highly valuable skill for traders. Not only can FOMO have a negative emotional impact, it can cloud judgment and overshadow logic. Learn how you can control FOMO in your trading here: https://t.co/lgDf5ddzFV https://t.co/8GJ6OQYgnW
  • Bitcoin (BTC) started the day on the front foot on the Twitter news before the latest China crypto ban hammered the market lower. Get your weekly crypto forecast from @nickcawley1 here: https://t.co/ZKHGXeVhsR https://t.co/QSltMQml6N
  • Greed is a natural human emotion that affects individuals to varying degrees. Unfortunately, when viewed in the context of trading, greed has proven to be a hindrance more often than it has assisted traders. Learn how to control greed in trading here: https://t.co/kODPAfJE79 https://t.co/DSp7f3YuAx
  • Technical analysis of charts aims to identify patterns and market trends by utilizing differing forms of technical chart types and other chart functions. Learn about the top three technical analysis tools here: https://t.co/KDjIjLdTSk https://t.co/HNqHcbL6vk
  • The US Dollar continues to push higher against ASEAN currencies after the FOMC rate decision. This leaves the USD/SGD, USD/THB, USD/PHP and USD/IDR outlook mostly tilted higher. Get your market update from @ddubrovskyFX here:https://t.co/zn56iTFBxM https://t.co/FbepD4RaFg
  • The US Dollar seems to be back on the offensive against its major counterparts, pressuring EUR/USD and NZD/USD lower as USD/JPY consolidates. USD/CHF surges past key resistance. Get your market update from @ddubrovskyFX here:https://t.co/MrLGSp7FYa https://t.co/XS0176LyOg
  • The Japanese Yen remains in focus with strength potential on risk aversion themes to go along with weakness on themes around higher rates. Get your weekly $JPY technical forecast from @JStanleyFX here: https://t.co/l4UICqJzJy https://t.co/dQ2pS0E4fp
Pound May Fall on UK CPI, Yen Down as China Issues RRR Cut

Pound May Fall on UK CPI, Yen Down as China Issues RRR Cut

Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC

TALKING POINTS – UK INFLATION, CHINA RRR CUT, FED BEIGE BOOK

  • British Pound may fall if disappointing UK CPI trims BOE rate hike bets
  • US Dollar looks to Fed Beige Book, eyeing clues of steeper tightening path
  • Yen down as China RRR cut helps boost risk appetite in Asia Pacific trade

March’s UK CPI report headlines the economic calendar in European trading hours. The headline inflation rate is expected to register at 2.7 on-year, unchanged from the prior month. The core rate excluding volatile items to measure underlying price growth trends is seen ticking up to 2.5 percent however after dropping to a seven-month low in February.

UK economic data outcomes have increasingly underperformed relative to consensus forecasts in recent months, warning that analysts’ models may be overly rosy and opening the door for another downside surprise. Such a result may clash with a recent build in priced-in BOE rate hike expectations, cooling bets on a near-term increase and sending the British Pound lower.

Later in the day, the Fed Beige Book survey of regional economic conditions comes into the spotlight. An upbeat tone echoing optimism on display in recent comments from central bank officials may inspire a steepening of the expected policy tightening path, pulling the US Dollar upward. As it stands, markets have accounted for three hikes this year and put the probability of a fourth at 30.8 percent.

The Japanese Yen underperformed in Asia Pacific trade as regional shares advanced, sapping the appeal of the standby anti-risk currency. The benchmark MSCI APAC equity index added 0.5 percent. A positive lead from Wall Street was reinforced as the PBOC unexpectedly cut reserve requirements for a range of Chinese banks by 1 percent, easing worries about tightening monetary conditions.

See our quarterly FX forecasts to learn what will drive prices through mid-year!

Asia Pacific Trading Session

Pound May Fall on UK CPI, Yen Down as China Issues RRR Cut

European Trading Session

Pound May Fall on UK CPI, Yen Down as China Issues RRR Cut

** All times listed in GMT. See the full economic calendar here.

FX TRADING RESOURCES

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

To contact Ilya, use the comments section below or @IlyaSpivak on Twitter

To receive Ilya's analysis directly via email, please SIGN UP HERE

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES