News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Bearish
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Wall Street
Bearish
Gold
Bearish
GBP/USD
Bearish
USD/JPY
Mixed
More View more
Real Time News
  • Natural gas spot prices have been on the rise, recapturing a key trendline, following the EIA’s Short-Term Energy Outlook. Where can prices head from here? Find out from @FxWestwater here:https://t.co/yK48nZD1ag https://t.co/Rbs94oGSC7
  • USD/CHF Falling Wedge Breakout Nears Target, Trend to Continue? - #USDCHF chart https://t.co/vgrZHTjQnj
  • EUR/USD IG Client Sentiment: Our data shows traders are now at their most net-long EUR/USD since Mar 26 when EUR/USD traded near 1.18. A contrarian view of crowd sentiment points to EUR/USD weakness. https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/G3PTMBx4s5
  • (APAC Stocks Briefing) Dow Jones, Nasdaq 100 Outlook: Reflationary Trade Dissipating, Nikkei 225 Eyes BoJ #DowJones #NASDAQ #Nikkei225 https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/market_alert/2021/06/18/Dow-Jones-Nasdaq-100-Outlook-Reflationary-Trade-Dissipating-Nikkei-225-Eyes-BoJ.html?CHID=9&QPID=917702&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Dubrovsky&utm_campaign=twr https://t.co/xkZCw2sSFJ
  • The US Dollar continues to see varied performance against ASEAN currencies. USD/SGD is consolidating. USD/THB may bounce. USD/IDR and USD/PHP could continue lower.Get your market update from @ddubrovskyFX here:https://t.co/Ccvcy93t5X https://t.co/96VSJdvfcR
  • 🇯🇵 Inflation Rate YoY (MAY) Actual: -0.1% Previous: -0.4% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-06-17
  • 🇯🇵 Core Inflation Rate YoY (MAY) Actual: 0.1% Expected: 0.1% Previous: -0.1% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-06-17
  • 🇯🇵 Inflation Rate Ex-Food and Energy YoY (MAY) Actual: -0.2% Previous: -0.2% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-06-17
  • The Swiss Franc has seen a bout of strength in recent months against several peer currencies. Here are technical levels to watch in USD/CHF, EUR/CHF, and CHF/JPY. Get your market update from @FxWestwater here:https://t.co/e2kHTtBHW3 https://t.co/oaIsshglET
  • Gold Price to Recover if Fed Rate Hike Risk & USD Strength Ebb -via @DailyFX Link to Analysis: https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/market_alert/2021/06/17/gold-price-to-recover-if-fed-rate-hike-risk-usd-strength-ebb.html $XAUUSD $GLD $GC_F https://t.co/CfcpZ2BgBX
Aussie Dollar Gains on Neutral RBA, Pound May Rise on Soft PMI

Aussie Dollar Gains on Neutral RBA, Pound May Rise on Soft PMI

Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC

Talking Points:

  • Aussie Dollar rose after broadly neutral RBA policy announcement
  • Gains might reflect short-term dovish tone bets and may soon fizzle
  • Pound could rise if soft PMI is seen helping to soften Brexit rhetoric

The Australian Dollar rose after the RBA kept its official cash rate unchanged at a record-low 1.50 percent, as widely expected. The statement accompanying the announcement was firmly neutral, reinforcing the likelihood that the central bank will remain on hold for some time yet. With that in mind, the currency’s slight uptick may reflect near-term bets on a more dovish tone. Significant follow-through seems unlikely.

UK Manufacturing PMI data headlines a relatively muted European data docket. Expectations point to a slight slowing in the pace of factory-sector activity in April compared with the prior month. UK economic news-flow has increasingly underperformed relative to consensus forecasts since mid-February, hinting that analysts’ models are perhaps overly optimistic and opening the door for a downside surprise.

The implications of a soft outcome for the British Pound may be somewhat counter-intuitive. As noted previously, the markets are all but certain that the BOE is on hold for the foreseeable future. Indeed, a rate hike is not priced in through 2018. With that in mind, signs of slowdown may prove supportive for Sterling if they help soften the tone of Brexit rhetoricahead of a general election in June.

What is most important in shaping GBP trends through mid-year? See our forecast to find out!

Asia Session

Aussie Dollar Gains on Neutral RBA, Pound May Rise on Soft PMI

European Session

Aussie Dollar Gains on Neutral RBA, Pound May Rise on Soft PMI

** All times listed in GMT. See the full DailyFX economic calendar here.

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

To receive Ilya's analysis directly via email, please SIGN UP HERE

Contact and follow Ilya on Twitter: @IlyaSpivak

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES