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Australian and New Zealand Dollars Rise as China Cuts Interest Rates

Australian and New Zealand Dollars Rise as China Cuts Interest Rates

Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC

Talking Points:

  • Aussie and NZ Dollars Rise After Surprise Round of PBOC Interest Rate Cuts
  • US Dollar Pulls Back After Seven Days Of Gains on FOMC Pre-Positioning
  • See Economic Releases Directly on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App

The Australian and New Zealand Dollars outperformed following an unexpected round of PBOC interest rate cuts. China’s central bank cut rates for the sixth time in a year, lowering the one-year lending and deposit rates by 25bps to 4.35 and 1.5 percent, respectively. The reserve requirement ratio for all banks was also lowered by 50bps, with an additional 50bps reduction for select lenders.

Traders likely interpreted Chinese stimulus expansion as supportive for Australia and New Zealand’s own growth prospects, which could limit the scope for RBA and RBNZ easing, since the East Asian giant is a leading export market for both countries. Greater accommodation in the world’s second-largest economy likewise fueled risk appetite, amplifying upside pressure on the sentiment-linked Aussie and Kiwi Dollars. The MSCI Asia Pacific regional benchmark stock index rose 0.3 percent.

Looking ahead, the chipper mood may struggle for follow-through as traders opt to withhold directional conviction ahead of Wednesday’s much-anticipated FOMC monetary policy announcement. While Janet Yellen and company are unlikely to begin stimulus withdrawal this time around, the tone of the statement accompanying the rate decision is widely expected to set the tone for December’s sit-down. If tightening in 2015 is truly on the agenda as many FOMC members have suggested, hawkish commentary setting the rhetorical foundation for liftoff may sink risk-sensitive assets.

In fact, FOMC pre-positioning seems to be at work already. The US Dollar traded broadly lower in a move that probably reflected a rebalancing effort ahead of the announcement after the greenback finished last week with seven consecutive days of gains, its longest winning streak in nine months.

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Asia Session

GMT

CCY

EVENT

ACT

EXP

PREV

No Data

European Session

GMT

CCY

EVENT

EXP

PREV

IMPACT

08:00

CHF

Total Sight Deposits (OCT 23)

-

465.9B

Low

08:00

CHF

Domestic Sight Deposits (OCT 23)

-

399.1B

Low

09:00

EUR

German IFO Business Climate (OCT)

107.8

108.5

Medium

09:00

EUR

German IFO Current Assessment (OCT)

113.5

114

Medium

09:00

EUR

German IFO Expectations (OCT)

102.4

103.3

Medium

09:30

GBP

BBA Loans for House Purchase (SEP)

47400

46743

Low

11:00

GBP

CBI Trends Total Orders (OCT)

-9

-7

Low

11:00

GBP

CBI Trends Selling Prices (OCT)

-7

-8

Low

11:00

GBP

CBI Business Optimism (OCT)

2

8

Low

Critical Levels

CCY

Supp 3

Supp 2

Supp 1

Pivot Point

Res 1

Res 2

Res 3

EURUSD

1.0766

1.0909

1.0963

1.1052

1.1106

1.1195

1.1338

GBPUSD

1.5123

1.5235

1.5274

1.5347

1.5386

1.5459

1.5571

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

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DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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