Talking Points:
- Commodity Dollars Aim Higher as Yen Falls Amid Firming Risk Sentiment
- British Pound Declines, Newswires Cite Dovish BOE Rhetoric as Catalyst
- See Economic News Directly on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App
The Australian, Canadian and New Zealand Dollars outperformed in overnight trade as firming risk appetite fueled demand for sentiment-geared FX. The MSCI Asia Pacific regional benchmark stock index rose 0.2 percent, hitting the highest level in six months. The Japanese Yen underperformed as investors’ rosy mood sapped demand for the safety-linked currency.
The British Pound likewise faced selling pressure in a move the newswires attributed to a delayed reaction to yesterday’s comments from Andy Haldane. The BOE’s Chief Economist warned that inflation risks are skewed to the downside, noting that the probability of a rate cut is “evenly balanced” with that of a hike.
That seems to contradict more hawkish comments from members of the central bank’s policy-setting MPC committee, presumably weighing on tightening bets. Measures of priced-in policy expectations have not meaningfully changed over the past 48 hours however, casting doubt on whether Mr. Haldane’s remarks were indeed as market-moving as news outlets suggested.
The meager handful of second-tier European economic data points and an empty US docket leave risk appetite as the dominant force driving currency markets through the end of the trading week. S&P 500 index futures are pointing firmly higher ahead of the opening bell on Wall Street, hinting a risk-on mood is likely to continue to propel the commodity Dollars upward while weighing on the Yen.
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Asia Session
| GMT | CCY | EVENT | ACT | EXP | PREV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:00 | NZD | ANZ Job Advertisements Data (FEB) | 0.7% | - | -1.1% |
| 21:45 | NZD | Net Migration s.a. (FEB) | 4820 | - | 5540 |
| 23:50 | JPY | Bank of Japan Feb 17-18 Meeting Minutes | - | - | - |
| 00:00 | NZD | ANZ Consumer Confidence (MAR) | 124.6 | - | 124.0 |
| 00:00 | NZD | ANZ Consumer Confidence (MoM) (MAR) | 0.5% | - | -3.8% |
| 1:45 | CNY | MNI Business Indicator (MAR) | 52.2 | - | 52.8 |
| 2:00 | NZD | Credit Card Spending (YoY) (FEB) | 5.8% | - | 6.2% |
| 2:00 | NZD | Credit Card Spending (MoM) (FEB) | -0.1% | - | 2.0% |
| 2:10 | AUD | RBA’s Stevens Speaks in Melbourne | - | - | - |
| 7:00 | JPY | Convenience Store Sales (YoY) (FEB) | -1.4% | - | -0.7% |
European Session
| GMT | CCY | EVENT | EXP/ACT | PREV | IMPACT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7:00 | EUR | German Producer Prices (YoY) (FEB) | -2.1% (A) | -2.2% | Medium |
| 7:00 | EUR | German Producer Prices (MoM) (FEB) | 0.1% (A) | -0.6% | Medium |
| 9:00 | EUR | Eurozone Current Account n.s.a (JAN) | €8.2B (A) | €35.2B | Low |
| 9:00 | EUR | Eurozone Current Account s.a (JAN) | €29.4B (A) | €22.5B | Low |
| 9:30 | GBP | Public Finances (PSNCR) (FEB) | - | -18.9B | Low |
| 9:30 | GBP | Public Sector Net Borrowing (FEB) | 7.7B | -9.4B | Low |
| 9:30 | GBP | Central Government NCR (FEB) | - | -18.3B | Low |
| 9:30 | GBP | PSNB ex Banking Groups (FEB) | 8.4B | -8.8B | Low |
Critical Levels
| CCY | Supp 3 | Supp 2 | Supp 1 | Pivot Point | Res 1 | Res 2 | Res 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EURUSD | 1.0119 | 1.0425 | 1.0542 | 1.0731 | 1.0848 | 1.1037 | 1.1343 |
| GBPUSD | 1.4175 | 1.4496 | 1.4625 | 1.4817 | 1.4946 | 1.5138 | 1.5459 |
--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com
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