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Euro Looking for a Lifeline in Revised June Inflation Data

Euro Looking for a Lifeline in Revised June Inflation Data

Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC

Talking Points:

  • Euro May Rise if June’s Inflation Reading is Revised Upward
  • Yen Gains as Aussie, NZ Dollars Fall on Fading Risk Appetite
  • See Data Releases on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App

A revised set of June’s Eurozone CPI figures headlines an otherwise lackluster economic calendar in European trading hours. The benchmark year-on-year inflation rate is expected to register at 0.5 percent, in line with flash estimates.

Price growth readings from the common currency area have cautiously improved relative to expectations since the beginning of the year, according to data from Credit Suisse. That leaves the door open for an upside surprise, which may offer a boost the Euro after the currency slid to a one-month low against the US Dollar.

The Japanese Yen outperformed on safe-haven demand while the sentiment-sensitive Australian and New Zealand Dollars came under selling pressure as risk appetite unraveled in overnight trade. A singular catalyst for the move was not readily apparent. S&P 500 futures are pointing lower in late Asian trade however, hinting at more of the same ahead.

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Asia Session

GMT

CCY

EVENT

ACT

EXP

PREV

22:00

NZD

ANZ Job Advertisements (MoM) (JUN)

5.7%

-

-4.8%

0:00

AUD

Conference Board Leading Index (MAY)

0.2%

-

-0.2%

1:00

NZD

ANZ Consumer Confidence (MoM) (JUL)

0.6%

-

3.4%

1:00

NZD

ANZ Consumer Confidence Index (JUL)

132.7

-

131.9

1:30

AUD

NAB Business Confidence (2Q)

6

-

7

1:30

AUD

RBA FX Transaction Market (A$) (JUN)

1271M

-

489M

1:30

AUD

RBA FX Transactions Gov't (A$) (JUN)

-1293M

-

-524M

1:30

AUD

RBA FX Transactions Other (A$) (JUN)

39M

-

55M

European Session

GMT

CCY

EVENT

EXP

PREV

IMPACT

6:00

EUR

EU 25 New Car Registrations (JUN)

-

4.5%

Low

9:00

EUR

Eurozone CPI (MoM) (JUN)

0.1%

-0.1%

Medium

9:00

EUR

Eurozone CPI (YoY) (JUN F)

0.5%

0.5%

Medium

9:00

EUR

Eurozone CPI - Core (YoY) (JUN F)

0.8%

0.8%

Medium

9:00

EUR

Eurozone Construction Output (MoM) (MAY)

-

0.8%

Low

9:00

EUR

Eurozone Construction Output (YoY) (MAY)

-

8.0%

Low

Critical Levels

CCY

Supp 3

Supp 2

Supp 1

Pivot Point

Res 1

Res 2

Res 3

EURUSD

1.3436

1.3488

1.3507

1.3540

1.3559

1.3592

1.3644

GBPUSD

1.7060

1.7097

1.7117

1.7134

1.7154

1.7171

1.7208

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

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