News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Mixed
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Wall Street
Bearish
Gold
Mixed
GBP/USD
Bearish
USD/JPY
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View more
Real Time News
  • 🇺🇸 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (FEB) Actual: 55.3 Expected: 58.7 Previous: 58.7 https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-03-03
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Silver are long at 92.99%, while traders in Germany 30 are at opposite extremes with 72.34%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/lh4WxFECzU
  • 🇵🇱 Interest Rate Decision (MAR) Actual: 0.1% Expected: 0.1% Previous: 0.1% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-03-03
  • GBP & FTSE 100 see muted reaction to the budget announcement. Get your $GBP market update from @JMcQueenFX here:https://t.co/59U7kGRyiW https://t.co/ymmW5W6ILf
  • Commodities Update: As of 14:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Oil - US Crude: 1.69% Gold: -1.54% Silver: -2.17% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/tb0rhPEn0F
  • Heads Up:🇵🇱 Interest Rate Decision (MAR) due at 15:00 GMT (15min) Actual: 0.1% Expected: 0.1% Previous: 0.1% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-03-03
  • Last week's gold report...' $1,743/oz. may prove temporary support ahead of $1,700/oz big figure support and ahead of the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at $1,689.7/oz.' #gold https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/market_alert/2021/02/26/Gold-Price-XAUUSD-Outlook-Treading-on-Thin-Ice-as-US-Treasury-Yields-Heat-Up.html
  • The February rally in $WTI Crude Oil has struggled to continue in March. After rising from 52.00 at the beginning of February to a high above 63.00, WTI has edged back downwards. The commodity has recently consolidated between the 59.00 and 61.00 levels. $OIL $USO https://t.co/NzJZIvgkQn
  • Heads Up:🇺🇸 Fed Harker Speech due at 15:00 GMT (15min) https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-03-03
  • Heads Up:🇺🇸 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (FEB) due at 15:00 GMT (15min) Expected: 58.7 Previous: 58.7 https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-03-03
Forex Analysis: Sideways Trade Likely Before Friday NFP, ISM Data

Forex Analysis: Sideways Trade Likely Before Friday NFP, ISM Data

Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC

Forex markets are likely to find themselves in consolidation mode as investors brace for Friday’s release of US Nonfarm Payrolls and ISM data.

Talking Points

  • Euro Unlikely to Find Fireworks in German Unemployment, Inflation Data
  • S&P 500 Futures Hint Risk Trends to Consolidate Before Friday’s Event Risk
  • Aussie, Kiwi Dollars Fall While Yen Gains as Stocks Drift Lower Overnight

January’s German Consumer Price Index figures headline the economic calendar in European hours. The headline inflation is expected to fall to 2 percent, down from 2.1 percent in the prior month. The print falls squarely in line with the medium-term trend average and seems unlikely to materially dislodge priced-in ECB monetary policy expectations (absent a major deviation from forecasts). As such, the data’s implications for the Euro are probably limited. The Unemployment report is likewise seen producing generally status-quo results.

The US data docket is also relatively lackluster, suggesting markets may settle into consolidation mode ahead of Friday’s burst of high-profile event risk as the monthly Nonfarm Payrolls and ISM Manufacturing metrics cross the wires. S&P 500 index futures are trading flat in late overnight trade, pointing to flat risk sentiment trends and reinforcing the case for a lull in volatility.

Forex markets traded mostly sideways in Asia. The Australian and New Zealand Dollars narrowly underperformed while the Yen advanced as regional stock exchanges probed slightly lower, weighing on the risk-anchored high yielders while buoying the safety-linked Japanese unit.

Asia Session:

GMT

CCY

EVENT

ACT

EXP

PREV

20:00

NZD

Reserve Bank of New Zealand Rate Decision

2.5%

2.5%

2.5%

23:50

JPY

Industrial Production (MoM) (DEC P)

2.5%

4.1%

-1.4%

23:50

JPY

Industrial Production (YoY) (DEC P)

-7.8%

-5.6%

-5.5%

23:50

JPY

Loans & Discounts Corp (YoY) (DEC)

1.0%

-

0.4%

0:00

AUD

HIA New Home Sales (MoM) (DEC)

6.2%

-

3.0% (R-)

0:01

GBP

GfK Consumer Confidence Survey (JAN)

-26

-28

-29

0:30

AUD

Private Sector Credit (MoM) (DEC)

0.4%

0.2%

0.0%

0:30

AUD

Private Sector Credit (YoY) (DEC)

3.6%

3.4%

3.5%

0:30

AUD

Export Price Index (QoQ) (4Q)

-2.4%

-1.5%

-6.4%

0:30

AUD

Import Price Index (QoQ) (4Q)

0.3%

0.4%

-2.4%

1:30

JPY

Labor Cash Earnings (YoY) (DEC)

-1.4%

-

-0.8% (R+)

2:00

NZD

Money Supply M3 (YoY) (DEC)

6.0%

-

5.5% (R+)

4:00

JPY

Vehicle Production (YoY) (DEC)

-17.2%

-

-8.4%

5:00

JPY

Housing Starts (YoY) (DEC)

10.0%

13.5%

10.3%

5:00

JPY

Annualized Housing Starts (DEC)

0.880M

0.895M

0.906M (R-)

5:00

JPY

Construction Orders (YoY) (DEC)

4.8%

-

-2.1%

Euro Session:

GMT

CCY

EVENT

EXP/ACT

PREV

IMPACT

7:00

GBP

Nationwide House Prices s.a. (MoM) (JAN)

0.5% (A)

0.0% (R+)

Medium

7:00

GBP

Nationwide House Prices n.s.a. (YoY) (JAN)

0.0% (A)

-1.0%

Medium

7:00

EUR

German Retail Sales (MoM) (DEC)

-1.7% (A)

0.6% (R-)

Medium

7:00

EUR

German Retail Sales (YoY) (DEC)

-4.7% (A)

-0.6% (R+)

Medium

8:00

CHF

SNB Releases 4Q Currency Holdings

-

-

Medium

8:55

EUR

German Unemployment Rate s.a. (JAN)

6.9%

6.9%

High

8:55

EUR

German Unemployment Change (JAN)

8K

3K

High

13:00

EUR

German CPI (MoM) (JAN P)

-0.4%

0.9%

High

13:00

EUR

German CPI (YoY) (JAN P)

2.0%

2.1%

High

13:00

EUR

German CPI - EU Harmonised (MoM) (JAN P)

-0.5%

0.9%

Low

13:00

EUR

German CPI - EU Harmonised (YoY) (JAN P)

2.0%

2.0%

Low

Critical Levels

CCY

SUPPORT

RESISTANCE

EURUSD

1.3504

1.3609

GBPUSD

1.5745

1.5872

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for Dailyfx.com

To contact Ilya, e-mail ispivak@dailyfx.com. Follow Ilya on Twitter at @IlyaSpivak

To be added to Ilya's e-mail distribution list, please CLICK HERE

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES