News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Bearish
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Wall Street
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Mixed
GBP/USD
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
USD/JPY
Bullish
More View more
Real Time News
  • *Reminder: Weekly Strategy Webinar tomorrow morning at 8:30am EST on DailyFX - https://t.co/lxd5fZnn4H Mid-Week Market Check Up with IG on Wednesday at 9:30am EST - https://t.co/8SFBJxNZrA
  • Do you know how to properly Identify a double top formation? Double tops can enhance technical analysis when trading both forex or stocks, making the pattern highly versatile in nature. Learn more about the double top formation here: https://t.co/t9Flsqcxo9 https://t.co/q0tVjDEr0v
  • The US 10-Year Treasury yield has advanced for four consecutive weeks for the longest such stretch since September 2018. Yet this isn't just a US issue. Yields are up globally. Perhaps most impressive is Japan's 10yr adv... https://t.co/78deo7rOa8 https://t.co/SjXYClItFC
  • Rising Treasury yields inspired a broad selling in global equities last week. The longer-term outlook remains positive however on the back of the reflationary theme, strong earnings and vaccine progress. Get your market update from @margaretyjy here: https://t.co/LLlhEpmJxI https://t.co/bJebULtjLG
  • Dealing with the fear of missing out – or FOMO – is a highly valuable skill for traders. Not only can FOMO have a negative emotional impact, it can cloud judgment and overshadow logic. Learn how you can control FOMO in your trading here: https://t.co/lgDf5cVYOn https://t.co/kuqShllQFp
  • Although the longer-term technical outlook for AUD remains skewed to the topside, recent developments suggest the commodity-sensitive currency could lose ground against USD and JPY. Get your market update from @DanielGMoss here: https://t.co/Rl1h8WdXwp https://t.co/49RKx86FzG
  • ECB policymakers were out in force last week, saying they were watching Eurozone government bond yields, but yields rose anyway, and that’s positive for $EURUSD and the Euro crosses. Get your market update from @MartinSEssex here: https://t.co/nJdh9dA1HM https://t.co/peLh7zTTiz
  • The Federal Reserve System (the Fed) was founded in 1913 by the United States Congress. The Fed’s actions and policies have a major impact on currency value, affecting many trades involving the US Dollar. Learn more about the Fed here: https://t.co/ADSC4sIHrP https://t.co/vs7ypHHwya
  • The GBP rally vs USD came to an abrupt end and reversal; this sets cable up for more selling in the week ahead. Get your market update from @PaulRobinsonFX here: https://t.co/Ee9PSppnd2 https://t.co/uaiCiEHBMs
  • What are some trading takeaways from 2020, as we jump into the new year? Find out with your free guide here: https://t.co/e7udCTJlmf #DailyfxGuides https://t.co/OXUgYIl2ru
Dow, S&P Continue Consolidation; Nasdaq Tests Higher-Low Support

Dow, S&P Continue Consolidation; Nasdaq Tests Higher-Low Support

James Stanley, Senior Strategist

Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq Price Analysis

  • The bullish trend in the Nasdaq drove up to a fresh all-time-high yesterday.
  • The Dow and S&P have been less bullish, as each has built in a pattern of digestion over the past week of price action.

Nasdaq Fresh Highs, Dow, S&P 500 Continue Consolidation

The bullish trend in the Nasdaq has continued as the index set yet another fresh all-time-high yesterday. This comes as new coronavirus cases continue to rise both in the US and globally; and even economic projections look pretty negative, with the IMF now expecting a global contraction of -4.9% this year versus their prior expectation for a 3% reduction. But, as has been the case, the driver appears to come from the deductive, and the fact that any economic weakness in the weeks or months ahead may be met with even more stimulus from global governments. As a reminder, it was just earlier this month that Fed Chair Jerome Powell said that there were ‘no limits’ to what the Fed could do with the liquidity programs available. This sounds very similar to a ‘Fed put’ in which the bank will look to address weakness or pressure with even more loosening.

In equities, this has helped the recovery continue from those March lows that now seem so far away. The Nasdaq has been the outperformer amongst American equity indices for much of this time, as the pullback in February-March opened the door for investors to pick up formerly high-flying tech stocks at a lower multiple. The likes of Apple, Amazon, Alphabet, Facebook and Netflix make up a large portion of both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq; and this has certainly been a factor in equity performance over the past few months.

The Nasdaq 100 has gained as much as 55.5% from the March lows. A huge number in any full year, much less over a quarter as a global pandemic rages on.

Nasdaq 100 Daily Price Chart

Nasdaq 100 Daily Price Chart

Chart prepared by James Stanley; Nasdaq 100 on Tradingview

From the hourly chart below, we can observe the shorter-term observation of recent trend continuation. After setting a fresh high yesterday, prices pulled back overnight, eventually finding a bit of support around a prior point of resistance. While short-term price action has also offered lower-highs, given proximity to the 10k level in the index, the big question is whether buyers can continue this bullish trend up to fresh all-time-highs.

Nasdaq 100 Hourly Price Chart

Nasdaq 100 Hourly Price Chart

Chart prepared by James Stanley; Nasdaq 100 on Tradingview

Dow Jones Continues Consolidation

Meanwhile, the both the Dow and S&P have appeared to lag in that enthusiasm shown around the Nasdaq of recent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has been in varying stages of mean reversion over the past couple of weeks, with no clear direction seen since the sell-off of a couple weeks ago, which increased in force just after the FOMC rate decision.

Starts in:
Live now:
Mar 02
( 18:03 GMT )
James Stanley's Tuesday Webinar
Trading Price Action
Register for webinar
Join now
Webinar has ended

That sell-off found support at a key spot on the chart to open last week’s trade, and after a quick re-entrance from buyers prices have continue that consolidation, taking on the form of the symmetrical wedge looked at on the four-hour chart below.

Dow Jones Four-Hour Price Chart

Dow Jones Four Hour Price Chart

Chart prepared by James Stanley; Dow Jones on Tradingview

The S&P 500 Also Consolidating

Similarly, the S&P 500 found support at a key zone on the chart ahead of last week’s open, and that helped to bring some buyers back into the mix after a quick but aggressive sell-off. And, since that quick bump, consolidation has been the name of the game as prices have put in both lower-highs and higher-lows.

Building Confidence in Trading
Building Confidence in Trading
Recommended by James Stanley
Building Confidence in Trading
Get My Guide

The key areas of consideration here appear to be that support zone from a couple of weeks ago, spanning around the 3k level on the index; with resistance potential around 3110, 3150 and 3170.

S&P 500 Four-Hour Price Chart

SPX500 Four Hour Price Chart

Chart prepared by James Stanley; SPX500 on Tradingview

--- Written by James Stanley, Strategist for DailyFX.com

Contact and follow James on Twitter: @JStanleyFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES